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避孕与堕胎之间的关系:证据综述

Relationships between contraception and abortion: a review of the evidence.

作者信息

Marston Cicely, Cleland John

机构信息

Centre for Population Studies, London School of Health & Tropical Medicine.

出版信息

Int Fam Plan Perspect. 2003 Mar;29(1):6-13. doi: 10.1363/ifpp.29.006.03.

Abstract

CONTEXT

The relationship between levels of contraceptive use and the incidence of induced abortion continues to provoke heated discussion, with some observers arguing that use of abortion decreases as contraceptive prevalence rises and others claiming that increased use of family planning methods causes abortion incidence to rise.

METHODS

Abortion trends are examined in countries with reliable data on abortion and with contraceptive prevalence information from two points in time showing increases in contraceptive use. The role of changes in fertility in mediating the relationship between abortion and contraception is also explored.

RESULTS

In seven countries--Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Uzbekistan, Bulgaria, Turkey, Tunisia and Switzerland--abortion incidence declined as prevalence of modern contraceptive use rose. In six others--Cuba, Denmark, Netherlands, the United States, Singapore and the Republic of Korea--levels of abortion and contraceptive use rose simultaneously. In all six of these countries, however, overall levels of fertility were falling during the period studied. After fertility levels stabilized in several of the countries that had shown simultaneous rises in contraception and abortion, contraceptive use continued to increase and abortion rates fell. The most clear-cut example of this trend is the Republic of Korea.

CONCLUSIONS

Rising contraceptive use results in reduced abortion incidence in settings where fertility itself is constant. The parallel rise in abortion and contraception in some countries occurred because increased contraceptive use alone was unable to meet the growing need for fertility regulation in situations where fertility was falling rapidly.

摘要

背景

避孕措施的使用水平与人工流产发生率之间的关系一直引发激烈讨论,一些观察家认为随着避孕普及率上升,人工流产率会下降,而另一些人则声称计划生育方法使用的增加导致人工流产发生率上升。

方法

在拥有可靠人工流产数据以及来自两个时间点的避孕普及率信息且显示避孕措施使用增加的国家中研究人工流产趋势。还探讨了生育率变化在调节人工流产与避孕关系中的作用。

结果

在哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯共和国、乌兹别克斯坦、保加利亚、土耳其、突尼斯和瑞士这七个国家,现代避孕措施的普及率上升时,人工流产发生率下降。在其他六个国家——古巴、丹麦、荷兰、美国、新加坡和韩国——人工流产水平和避孕措施使用同时上升。然而,在所有这六个国家中,在所研究的时期内总体生育率都在下降。在一些避孕和人工流产同时上升的国家中,生育率水平稳定后,避孕措施的使用继续增加,而人工流产率下降。这种趋势最明显的例子是韩国。

结论

在生育率本身保持不变的情况下,避孕措施使用的增加会导致人工流产发生率降低。一些国家人工流产和避孕措施使用同时上升是因为在生育率迅速下降的情况下,仅靠增加避孕措施的使用无法满足对生育调节日益增长的需求。

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