Uehara R, Yashiro M, Nakamura Y, Yanagawa H
Department of Public Health, Jichi Medical School Tochigi, Japan.
Acta Paediatr. 2003 Jun;92(6):694-7. doi: 10.1080/08035320310002768.
To estimate the probability that the parents of patients with Kawasaki disease also had a history of the same disease.
Self-reported parents' histories of Kawasaki disease were collected from data of the 16th nationwide survey of the disease conducted in Japan from January 1999 to December 2000. The incidence of Kawasaki disease was calculated by using data reported in all 16 nationwide surveys and live births in the Japanese vital statistics. The expected number of parents with a history of Kawasaki disease in the general population, which was calculated by using the assumed number of parents in the vital statistics and the incidence of this disease, was compared with the observed number.
Among 14,163 parent pairs of patients with Kawasaki disease, 33 parents (25 mothers and 8 fathers) had a history of the disease. The number of parents expected to have a history of Kawasaki disease was 16.1 (8.4 mothers and 7.7 fathers). From a Poisson distribution, the probability of the observed number was less than 0.001 among parents or mothers. The prevalence of a recurrence of Kawasaki disease and incidences involving siblings of patients whose parents had a history of the disease were five or six times higher than those of all patients who were reported in the 16th survey.
When compared with parents in the general population, the probability of a history of Kawasaki disease was significantly higher in those parents whose children suffered from the same disease. This suggests that, epidemiologically, a genetic predisposition to Kawasaki disease may be implicated in its occurrence.
评估川崎病患者的父母也患有该疾病的概率。
从1999年1月至2000年12月在日本进行的第16次全国性川崎病调查数据中收集父母自我报告的川崎病病史。利用第16次全国性调查所报告的数据以及日本人口动态统计中的活产数据计算川崎病的发病率。通过使用人口动态统计中假定的父母数量和该疾病的发病率来计算普通人群中患有川崎病病史的父母的预期数量,并与观察到的数量进行比较。
在14,163对川崎病患者的父母中,有33名父母(25名母亲和8名父亲)有该疾病的病史。预期有川崎病病史的父母数量为16.1(8.4名母亲和7.7名父亲)。根据泊松分布,观察到的数量在父母或母亲中的概率小于0.001。川崎病复发的患病率以及父母有该疾病病史的患者兄弟姐妹的发病率比第16次调查中报告的所有患者的发病率高五到六倍。
与普通人群中的父母相比,孩子患有川崎病的父母有川崎病病史的概率显著更高。这表明,从流行病学角度来看,川崎病的发生可能与遗传易感性有关。