Rossier Clémentine
Institut National d'Etudes Démographiques, 133 Boulevard Davout, 75980 Paris.
Stud Fam Plann. 2003 Jun;34(2):87-102. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4465.2003.00087.x.
Legal abortions are authorized medical procedures, and as such, they are or can be recorded at the health facility where they are performed. The incidence of illegal, often unsafe, induced abortion has to be estimated, however. In the literature, no fewer than eight methods have been used to estimate the frequency of induced abortion: the "illegal abortion provider survey," the "complications statistics" approach, the "mortality statistics" approach, self-reporting techniques, prospective studies, the "residual" method, anonymous third party reports, and experts' estimates. This article describes the methodological requirements of each of these methods and discusses their biases. Empirical records for each method are reviewed, with particular attention paid to the contexts in which the method has been employed successfully. Finally, the choice of an appropriate method of estimation is discussed, depending on the context in which it is to be applied and on the goal of the estimation effort.
合法堕胎是经授权的医疗程序,因此,它们在实施的医疗机构会被记录或能够被记录。然而,必须估算非法(通常不安全)人工流产的发生率。在文献中,至少有八种方法被用于估算人工流产的频率:“非法堕胎提供者调查”、“并发症统计”方法、“死亡率统计”方法、自我报告技术、前瞻性研究、“残差”法、匿名第三方报告和专家估计。本文描述了这些方法各自的方法学要求,并讨论了它们的偏差。回顾了每种方法的实证记录,特别关注了该方法成功应用的背景。最后,根据其应用的背景和估算工作的目标,讨论了合适估算方法的选择。