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柏林大学医院夏里特法医学研究所活体法医年龄估计的统计分析与验证。

Statistical analysis and verification of forensic age estimation of living persons in the Institute of Legal Medicine of the Berlin University Hospital Charité.

作者信息

Schmeling Andreas, Olze Andreas, Reisinger Walter, König Michael, Geserick Gunther

机构信息

Institute of Legal Medicine (Charité), Humboldt University Berlin, Hannoversche Strasse 6, D-10115 Berlin, Germany.

出版信息

Leg Med (Tokyo). 2003 Mar;5 Suppl 1:S367-71. doi: 10.1016/s1344-6223(02)00134-7.

DOI:10.1016/s1344-6223(02)00134-7
PMID:12935635
Abstract

In recent years, the increase in international migration movements has led to a greater demand for forensic age estimation of foreigners without valid identification documents in numerous countries. The growing importance of forensic age determination is underlined by a rapid rise in the number of expert reports by the Institute of Legal Medicine of the Berlin University Hospital Charité. A total of 247 expert opinions on estimated age were given between 1992 and 31 December 2000. Subject to formal court ruling, age is estimated based on the physical inspection, in combination with an X-ray of the left hand and the clavicles as well as dental assessment. However, the statistical proof of the range of scatter for the summarized age diagnosis still remains to be clarified in the context of this assessment procedure. The age estimations made by the Institute of Legal Medicine of the Berlin University Hospital Charité were statistically analyzed with respect to the validity of the different methods. For verification of the age diagnoses, the age estimates were compared with the court records and the age determined in the course of legal proceedings. In 45 cases, the age diagnoses could be verified. In all cases where the age could be verified beyond doubt, deviations from the actual age did not exceed +/-12 months. From this, it can be concluded that the combined application of the above-mentioned methods allows forensic age estimations with a sufficiently high degree of reliability.

摘要

近年来,国际移民流动的增加使得许多国家对无有效身份证件的外国人进行法医年龄估计的需求增大。柏林夏里特大学医院法医学研究所出具的专家报告数量迅速增加,凸显了法医年龄判定的重要性日益提高。在1992年至2000年12月31日期间,共给出了247份关于估计年龄的专家意见。根据正式法庭裁决,年龄估计基于体格检查,并结合左手和锁骨的X光检查以及牙齿评估。然而,在这一评估程序的背景下,总结年龄诊断的散点范围的统计证明仍有待澄清。对柏林夏里特大学医院法医学研究所做出的年龄估计就不同方法的有效性进行了统计分析。为了验证年龄诊断,将年龄估计与法庭记录以及法律程序中确定的年龄进行了比较。在45个案例中,年龄诊断得到了验证。在所有年龄能够被明确验证的案例中,与实际年龄的偏差不超过±12个月。由此可以得出结论,上述方法的联合应用能够进行具有足够高可靠性的法医年龄估计。

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