Axinn W G, Thornton A
Department of Sociology, University of Chicago, IL 60637-2799.
Demography. 1992 Aug;29(3):357-74.
Recent evidence linking premarital cohabitation to high rates of divorce poses a complex theoretical and empirical puzzle. We develop hypotheses predicting that premarital cohabitation is selective of those who are prone to divorce as well as hypotheses predicting that the experience of premarital cohabitation produces attitudes and values which increase the probability of divorce. Using multiwave panel data from a recent cohort of young men and women in the United States, we specify and test models of these predictions. The results are consistent with hypotheses suggesting that cohabitation is selective of men and women who are less committed to marriage and more approving of divorce. The results also are consistent with the conclusion that cohabiting experiences significantly increase young people's acceptance of divorce.
近期有关婚前同居与高离婚率相关的证据，构成了一个复杂的理论和实证难题。我们提出了一些假设，预测婚前同居会筛选出那些容易离婚的人，同时也提出了一些假设，预测婚前同居的经历会产生一些态度和价值观，从而增加离婚的可能性。利用来自美国近期一批年轻男女的多波面板数据，我们详细阐述并检验了这些预测模型。结果与一些假设相符，这些假设表明同居会筛选出那些对婚姻忠诚度较低且更认同离婚的男性和女性。结果也与这样的结论一致，即同居经历会显著提高年轻人对离婚的接受度。
