Smith Kathleen M, Cummings Peter
Department of Emergency Medicine, Mary Bridge Children's Hospital, 315 Martin Luther King Jr. Way, Tacoma, WA 98405-0987, USA.
Accid Anal Prev. 2004 Mar;36(2):257-60. doi: 10.1016/s0001-4575(03)00002-2.
To estimate the association of passenger seat position with the risk of death and serious injury for passengers in traffic crashes.
Using 1993-2000 data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration's Crashworthiness Data System (CDS), the risk ratio for death and serious injury was estimated for rear seat passengers compared with front seat passengers in motor vehicle crashes.
The adjusted risk ratio for death of passengers in the rear seat in a crash was 0.61 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.46-0.81). Rear seat passenger position was also associated with a decrease in the risk of death and serious injury compared with the front seat passenger position: risk ratio=0.67 (95% CI 0.57-0.78).
We estimated that the rear seat passenger position may reduce the risk of death in a motor vehicle crash by about 39% and reduce the risk of death or serious injury in a crash by 33%, compared with the front seat passenger position. If the associations that we report are causal, sitting in the rear seat, compared with the front seat, may prevent about 4 in 10 passenger deaths, or 3 in 10 passenger deaths and injuries, that might otherwise occur.
评估交通事故中乘客座位位置与死亡及重伤风险之间的关联。
利用美国国家公路交通安全管理局碰撞安全性数据系统(CDS)1993 - 2000年的数据,估算机动车碰撞事故中后排乘客相较于前排乘客的死亡及重伤风险比。
碰撞事故中后排乘客经调整后的死亡风险比为0.61(95%置信区间(CI)0.46 - 0.81)。与前排乘客座位位置相比,后排乘客座位位置也与死亡及重伤风险的降低相关:风险比 = 0.67(95% CI 0.57 - 0.78)。
我们估计,与前排乘客座位位置相比,后排乘客座位位置可能使机动车碰撞事故中的死亡风险降低约39%,并使碰撞事故中的死亡或重伤风险降低33%。如果我们所报告的关联是因果关系,那么与坐在前排相比,坐在后排可能会避免约十分之四的乘客死亡,或者避免十分之三的乘客伤亡,否则这些伤亡可能会发生。