Macleod John, Oakes Rachel, Copello Alex, Crome Ilana, Egger Matthias, Hickman Mathew, Oppenkowski Thomas, Stokes-Lampard Helen, Davey Smith George
Department of Primary Care and General Practice, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Lancet. 2004 May 15;363(9421):1579-88. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(04)16200-4.
Use of illicit drugs, particularly cannabis, by young people is widespread and is associated with several types of psychological and social harm. These relations might not be causal. Causal relations would suggest that recreational drug use is a substantial public health problem. Non-causal relations would suggest that harm-reduction policy based on prevention of drug use is unlikely to produce improvements in public health. Cross-sectional evidence cannot clarify questions of causality; longitudinal or interventional evidence is needed. Past reviews have generally been non-systematic, have often included cross-sectional data, and have underappreciated the extent of methodological problems associated with interpretation.
We did a systematic review of general population longitudinal studies reporting associations between illicit drug use by young people and psychosocial harm.
We identified 48 relevant studies, of which 16 were of higher quality and provided the most robust evidence. Fairly consistent associations were noted between cannabis use and both lower educational attainment and increased reported use of other illicit drugs. Less consistent associations were noted between cannabis use and both psychological health problems and problematic behaviour. All these associations seemed to be explicable in terms of non-causal mechanisms.
Available evidence does not strongly support an important causal relation between cannabis use by young people and psychosocial harm, but cannot exclude the possibility that such a relation exists. The lack of evidence of robust causal relations prevents the attribution of public health detriments to illicit drug use. In view of the extent of illicit drug use, better evidence is needed.
年轻人使用非法药物,尤其是大麻的现象普遍存在,且与多种心理和社会危害相关。这些关系可能并非因果关系。因果关系表明娱乐性药物使用是一个重大的公共卫生问题。非因果关系则表明基于预防药物使用的减少伤害政策不太可能改善公共卫生状况。横断面证据无法阐明因果问题;需要纵向或干预性证据。过去的综述通常不系统,常常纳入横断面数据,且未充分认识到与解释相关的方法学问题的程度。
我们对一般人群纵向研究进行了系统综述,这些研究报告了年轻人非法药物使用与心理社会危害之间的关联。
我们确定了48项相关研究,其中16项质量较高,提供了最有力的证据。大麻使用与较低的教育程度以及报告的其他非法药物使用增加之间存在相当一致的关联。大麻使用与心理健康问题和问题行为之间的关联不太一致。所有这些关联似乎都可以用非因果机制来解释。
现有证据并不强烈支持年轻人使用大麻与心理社会危害之间存在重要的因果关系,但不能排除这种关系存在的可能性。缺乏有力因果关系的证据使得无法将公共卫生损害归因于非法药物使用。鉴于非法药物使用的程度,需要更好的证据。