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老年人执照法与机动车死亡事故

Elderly licensure laws and motor vehicle fatalities.

作者信息

Grabowski David C, Campbell Christine M, Morrisey Michael A

机构信息

Lister Hill Center for Health Policy, School of Public Health, University of Alabama, Birmingham, USA.

出版信息

JAMA. 2004 Jun 16;291(23):2840-6. doi: 10.1001/jama.291.23.2840.

Abstract

CONTEXT

Little is known about how state-level driver licensure laws, such as in-person renewal, vision tests, road tests, and the frequency of license renewal relate to the older driver traffic fatality rate.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether state driver's license renewal policies are associated with the fatality rate among elderly drivers.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND POPULATION: Retrospective, longitudinal study conducted January 1990 through December 2000 of all fatal crashes in the contiguous United States identified in the Fatality Analysis Reporting System, which involved either an older (ages 65-74 years, 75-84 years, and > or =85 years) or middle-aged (ages 25-64 years) driver. Two regression approaches were used to study the effect of state laws mandating in-person renewal, vision tests, road tests, and frequency of license renewal on driver fatalities, controlling for state-level factors including the number of licensed elderly drivers, primary and secondary seatbelt laws, maximum speed limit laws, blood alcohol level of 0.08, and administrative license revocation drinking and driving laws, per capita income, and unemployment rate. The first regression approach examined only elderly driver fatalities and the second approach examined daytime elderly driver fatalities and used daytime fatalities among middle-aged drivers as a general control for unobserved variation across states and over time.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Older driver fatalities and older and middle-aged daytime driver fatalities.

RESULTS

Among individuals aged 85 years or older, there were a total of 4605 driver fatalities and 4179 daytime driver fatalities during the study period. For this age cohort, after controlling for middle-aged daytime driver deaths, states with in-person license renewal were associated with a lower driver fatality rate (incident rate ratio [RR], 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.72-0.96). This was the only policy related to older drivers that was significantly associated with a lower fatality risk across both regression models. Thus, state-mandated vision tests, road tests, more frequent license renewal, and in-person renewal (for individuals aged 65-74 years and 75-84 years) were not found to be independently associated with the fatality rate among older drivers in the 2 models.

CONCLUSIONS

In-person license renewal was related to a significantly lower fatality rate among the oldest old drivers. More stringent state licensure policies such as vision tests, road tests, and more frequent license renewal cycles were not independently associated with additional benefits.

摘要

背景

关于州级驾照许可法律,如亲自换证、视力测试、路考以及驾照更新频率与老年驾驶员交通死亡率之间的关系,人们了解甚少。

目的

确定州级驾照更新政策是否与老年驾驶员的死亡率相关。

设计、地点和人群:对1990年1月至2000年12月在美国本土发生的所有致命撞车事故进行回顾性纵向研究,这些事故在致命分析报告系统中被识别,涉及老年(65 - 74岁、75 - 84岁以及≥85岁)或中年(25 - 64岁)驾驶员。采用两种回归方法研究州法律规定的亲自换证、视力测试、路考以及驾照更新频率对驾驶员死亡的影响,同时控制州级因素,包括老年持证驾驶员数量、主次安全带法律、最高限速法律、血液酒精含量0.08、行政驾照吊销酒驾法律、人均收入和失业率。第一种回归方法仅研究老年驾驶员死亡情况,第二种方法研究老年驾驶员白天死亡情况,并将中年驾驶员白天死亡情况作为对各州及不同时间未观察到的差异的一般对照。

主要结局指标

老年驾驶员死亡情况以及老年和中年驾驶员白天死亡情况。

结果

在85岁及以上的人群中,研究期间共有4605例驾驶员死亡和4179例白天驾驶员死亡。对于这个年龄组,在控制中年驾驶员白天死亡情况后,实行亲自换证的州驾驶员死亡率较低(发病率比[RR]为0.83;95%置信区间[CI]为0.72 - 0.96)。这是唯一一项与老年驾驶员相关且在两个回归模型中均与较低死亡风险显著相关的政策。因此,在这两个模型中,州规定的视力测试、路考、更频繁的驾照更新以及亲自换证(针对65 - 74岁和75 - 84岁的个人)并未被发现与老年驾驶员的死亡率独立相关。

结论

亲自换证与最年长老年驾驶员的死亡率显著降低相关。更严格的州许可政策,如视力测试、路考和更频繁的驾照更新周期,并未独立带来额外益处。

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