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驾照更新政策与涉及70岁及以上驾驶员的致命撞车事故之间的关系。

Relationship between driver's license renewal policies and fatal crashes involving drivers 70 years or older.

作者信息

Levy D T, Vernick J S, Howard K A

机构信息

Department of Economics, Robert G. Merrick School of Business, University of Baltimore, MD 21201-5779, USA.

出版信息

JAMA. 1995 Oct 4;274(13):1026-30.

PMID:7563452
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To assess the relationship between state driver's license renewal policies and fatal crashes involving drivers aged 70 years or older (seniors).

DESIGN AND ANALYSIS

Poisson regression methods were used to isolate the relationship between different state policies mandating vision tests, knowledge tests, or road tests for driver's license renewal and fatal crashes involving senior drivers. The analysis controlled for differences among states, other than their renewal policies, likely to influence senior motor vehicle crashes.

SETTING

United States, 1985 through 1989.

PARTICIPANTS

All fatal crashes identified in the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration Fatal Accident Reporting System involving at least one driver aged 70 years or older.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

The number of fatal crashes per state in which at least one of the drivers was aged 70 years or older. When a single fatal crash involved more than one senior driver, each was included.

RESULTS

State-mandated tests of visual acuity, adjusted for license renewal period, were associated with lower fatal crash risk for senior drivers (relative risk, 0.93; 95% confidence interval, 0.89 to 0.97). Knowledge tests, when added to vision tests and applied only to seniors, provided a nonsignificant reduction in the senior fatal crash risk (relative risk, 0.91; 95% confidence interval, 0.79 to 1.05).

CONCLUSION

Tests of vision and knowledge for senior drivers at license renewal merit further attention as a means of improving senior traffic safety.

摘要

目的

评估各州驾照更新政策与涉及70岁及以上驾驶员(老年人)的致命撞车事故之间的关系。

设计与分析

采用泊松回归方法,以确定不同州要求在驾照更新时进行视力测试、知识测试或路考的政策与涉及老年驾驶员的致命撞车事故之间的关系。该分析控制了各州之间除更新政策外可能影响老年机动车撞车事故的差异。

背景

美国,1985年至1989年。

参与者

在国家公路交通安全管理局致命事故报告系统中识别出的所有涉及至少一名70岁及以上驾驶员的致命撞车事故。

主要结局指标

每个州至少有一名驾驶员年龄在70岁及以上的致命撞车事故数量。当一起致命撞车事故涉及多名老年驾驶员时,每名驾驶员都被纳入统计。

结果

在调整驾照更新期限后,州规定的视力测试与老年驾驶员较低的致命撞车风险相关(相对风险,0.93;95%置信区间,0.89至0.97)。知识测试在添加到视力测试中并仅应用于老年人时,对老年致命撞车风险的降低不显著(相对风险,0.91;95%置信区间,0.79至1.05)。

结论

在驾照更新时对老年驾驶员进行视力和知识测试作为提高老年交通安全的一种手段值得进一步关注。

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