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州机动车法律与老年驾驶员

State motor vehicle laws and older drivers.

作者信息

Morrisey Michael A, Grabowski David C

机构信息

Department of Health Care Organization and Policy, University of Alabama at Birmingham, 35294-0022, USA.

出版信息

Health Econ. 2005 Apr;14(4):407-19. doi: 10.1002/hec.955.

Abstract

After teenage males, elderly individuals have the highest per capita motor vehicle fatality rate in the United States. Surprisingly, there has been only limited work examining the effect of state motor vehicle laws on older driver fatalities. This paper uses state-level data from the 1985-2000 Fatality Analysis Reporting System to examine the effects of changes in state laws dealing with license renewal, seatbelt use, speed limits, and driving while intoxicated on fatalities among drivers and others aged 65 and over. Negative binomial regressions are estimated using alternatively state and year fixed effects, or age and year fixed effects. In-person license renewal reduced fatalities among the oldest drivers, but vision tests, road tests and the length of the license renewal cycle generally did not. In terms of policies that apply to all drivers, seatbelt laws, particularly with primary enforcement, were generally the only policies that reduced older driver fatalities. These results are noteworthy because a number of policies that have been effective towards increasing younger driver safety are not relevant for older drivers, implying that policymakers must think broadly about using state laws to improve older driver safety.

摘要

在美国,除青少年男性外,老年人的人均机动车死亡率最高。令人惊讶的是,研究州机动车法律对老年驾驶员死亡影响的工作非常有限。本文使用1985 - 2000年死亡分析报告系统的州级数据,研究州法律在驾照更新、安全带使用、限速以及醉酒驾驶方面的变化对65岁及以上驾驶员和其他人员死亡的影响。使用州和年份固定效应或年龄和年份固定效应交替估计负二项回归。亲自办理驾照更新减少了最年长驾驶员的死亡人数,但视力测试、路考以及驾照更新周期的时长通常并无此效果。就适用于所有驾驶员的政策而言,安全带法律,特别是具有直接执法权的法律,通常是唯一能降低老年驾驶员死亡人数的政策。这些结果值得关注,因为许多对提高年轻驾驶员安全性有效的政策对老年驾驶员并不适用,这意味着政策制定者必须从更广泛的角度思考如何利用州法律来提高老年驾驶员的安全性。

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