Bertozzi Stefano, Gutierrez Juan-Pablo, Opuni Marjorie, Walker Neff, Schwartländer Bernhard
Division of Health Economics and Policy, The National Institute of Public Health (INSP), Universidad 655, Cuernavaca, Mexico.
Health Policy. 2004 Aug;69(2):189-200. doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2003.12.010.
As funding mechanisms like the Global Fund for HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria increasingly make funding decisions on the basis of burden of disease estimates and financial need calculations, the importance of reliable and comparable estimating methods is growing. This paper presents a model for estimating HIV/AIDS health care resource needs in low- and middle-income countries. The model presented was the basis for the United Nations' call for US dollars 9.2 billion to address HIV/AIDS in developing countries by 2005 with US dollars 4.4 billion to address HIV/AIDS health care and the rest to deal with HIV/AIDS prevention. The model has since been updated and extended to produce estimates for 2007. This paper details the methods and assumptions used to estimate HIV/AIDS health care financial needs and it discusses the limitations and data needs for this model.
随着诸如全球防治艾滋病、结核病和疟疾基金等资助机制越来越多地根据疾病负担估计和资金需求计算来做出资助决策，可靠且可比的估计方法的重要性日益凸显。本文提出了一个用于估计低收入和中等收入国家艾滋病医疗资源需求的模型。所提出的模型是联合国呼吁到2005年提供92亿美元以应对发展中国家艾滋病问题的基础，其中44亿美元用于艾滋病医疗，其余用于艾滋病预防。此后该模型已更新并扩展以生成2007年的估计数。本文详细介绍了用于估计艾滋病医疗资金需求的方法和假设，并讨论了该模型的局限性和数据需求。
