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出生体重校正的杜波维茨方法:减少津巴布韦人群中胎龄评估的错误分类

Birthweight-adjusted Dubowitz methods: reducing misclassification of assessments of gestational age in a Zimbabwean population.

作者信息

Feresu S A, Harlow S D, Gillespie B W, Welch K, Johnson T R

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.

出版信息

Cent Afr J Med. 2003 May-Jun;49(5-6):47-53.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the performance and the utility of using birthweight-adjusted scores of the Dubowitz method of estimating gestational age in a Zimbabwean population.

DESIGN

A validation study.

SETTING

Harare Maternity Hospital, from October to December 1999.

SUBJECTS

364 African newborn infants with a known last menstrual period (LMP), within the first 56 hours of life.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Differences between regression lines and variances explained by Dubowitz scores obtained by examining newborn infants compared to gestational age calculated from the last menstrual period, in models with and without the addition of birthweight.

RESULTS

The Dubowitz method was a good predictor of gestational age, useful in differentiating term from pre-term infants. The beta coefficients from regression lines with and without addition of birthweight differed significantly from each other (z = 2.83, p < 0.01). Our regression line without adding birthweight was Y(LMP gestational age) = 23.814 + 0.301* score. Addition of birthweight to the regression models improved prediction of gestational age, Y(LMP gestational age) = 23.512 + 0.219* score + 0.0015* grams, and accounted for 69% of the variance compared to 66% in models without birthweight.

CONCLUSION

The introduction of birthweight improves estimation of gestational age, correcting for the overestimation reported for the original Dubowitz methods and the error caused by low birthweight. We recommend the use of our birthweight-adjusted Dubowitz maturity scales for studies of prematurity, and for routine clinical practice.

摘要

目的

评估在津巴布韦人群中使用出生体重校正后的杜波维茨(Dubowitz)孕周估计方法的性能及效用。

设计

一项验证性研究。

地点

1999年10月至12月于哈拉雷妇产医院。

研究对象

364名非洲新生儿,出生后56小时内,末次月经日期(LMP)已知。

主要观察指标

通过检查新生儿获得的杜波维茨评分与根据末次月经日期计算的孕周相比,在有和没有加入出生体重的模型中,回归线差异及方差解释情况。

结果

杜波维茨方法是孕周的良好预测指标,有助于区分足月儿和早产儿。加入出生体重和未加入出生体重的回归线的β系数彼此差异显著(z = 2.83,p < 0.01)。我们未加入出生体重的回归线为Y(LMP孕周)= 23.814 + 0.301×评分。在回归模型中加入出生体重可改善孕周预测,Y(LMP孕周)= 23.512 + 0.219×评分 + 0.0015×克,与未加入出生体重的模型相比,占方差的69%,而未加入出生体重的模型为66%。

结论

出生体重的引入改善了孕周估计,校正了原始杜波维茨方法报告的高估情况以及低出生体重导致的误差。我们建议将我们的出生体重校正后的杜波维茨成熟度量表用于早产研究及常规临床实践。

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