Greenland Sander
Department of Epidemiology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1772, USA.
Am J Epidemiol. 2004 Aug 15;160(4):301-5. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwh221.
Some recent articles have discussed biased methods for estimating risk ratios from adjusted odds ratios when the outcome is common, and the problem of setting confidence limits for risk ratios. These articles have overlooked the extensive literature on valid estimation of risks, risk ratios, and risk differences from logistic and other models, including methods that remain valid when the outcome is common, and methods for risk and rate estimation from case-control studies. The present article describes how most of these methods can be subsumed under a general formulation that also encompasses traditional standardization methods and methods for projecting the impact of partially successful interventions. Approximate variance formulas for the resulting estimates allow interval estimation; these intervals can be closely approximated by rapid simulation procedures that require only standard software functions.
最近的一些文章讨论了在结局常见时从调整后的比值比估计风险比的有偏方法,以及为风险比设置置信限的问题。这些文章忽略了关于从逻辑回归模型和其他模型有效估计风险、风险比和风险差的大量文献,包括在结局常见时仍然有效的方法,以及病例对照研究中风险和率估计的方法。本文描述了如何将这些方法中的大多数归入一个通用公式,该公式还涵盖传统的标准化方法和预测部分成功干预措施影响的方法。所得估计值的近似方差公式允许进行区间估计;这些区间可以通过仅需要标准软件功能的快速模拟程序进行紧密近似。