Lerchl Alexander
School of Engineering and Science, International University Bremen, Campus Ring 6, 28759 Bremen, Germany.
Naturwissenschaften. 2004 Sep;91(9):422-5. doi: 10.1007/s00114-004-0553-5. Epub 2004 Aug 26.
The effects of month of birth (MOB) on life expectancy of a German subpopulation was investigated. Data from people who died in North Rhine Westphalia in the years 1984 ( n=188,515) and 1999 ( n=188,850) were analyzed. For comparative purposes, all deaths that occurred at an age of <50 years were excluded (1984: 8.4%; 1999: 6.2%). In general, individuals born in May through July had the lowest age at death (1984: 75.27+/-0.09 years; 1999: 77.58+/-0.09 years), while those born between October and December had the highest (1984: 75.98+/-0.08 years; 1999: 78.35+/-0.09 years), supporting earlier findings. The observed amplitudes (differences between highest and lowest values) were more pronounced in men than in women. When comparing these data of MOB effects on life expectancy with earlier findings in Australia, Austria, Denmark, Ukraine, and the USA, it is evident that a negative correlation exists between the average age at death and the MOB amplitudes. Separate analyses by gender, possible for the data from Germany, the Ukraine, and the USA, revealed a significant negative correlation for men, but not for women. A new hypothesis is therefore presented describing an influence of life quality, as reflected by average life expectancy, on the extent of MOB effects; for example, seasonally variable sensitivities during pregnancy/early childhood.
研究了出生月份(MOB)对德国某亚人群预期寿命的影响。分析了1984年(n = 188,515)和1999年(n = 188,850)在北莱茵 - 威斯特法伦州死亡人员的数据。为了进行比较,排除了所有在50岁之前死亡的案例(1984年:8.4%;1999年:6.2%)。总体而言,5月至7月出生的个体死亡年龄最低(1984年:75.27±0.09岁;1999年:77.58±0.09岁),而10月至12月出生的个体死亡年龄最高(1984年:75.98±0.08岁;1999年:78.35±0.09岁),这支持了早期的研究结果。观察到的幅度(最高值与最低值之间的差异)在男性中比在女性中更为明显。当将这些出生月份对预期寿命影响的数据与澳大利亚、奥地利、丹麦、乌克兰和美国的早期研究结果进行比较时,很明显死亡平均年龄与出生月份幅度之间存在负相关。按性别进行的单独分析(德国、乌克兰和美国的数据可行)显示,男性存在显著的负相关,而女性则不存在。因此,提出了一个新的假设,描述了以平均预期寿命反映的生活质量对出生月份影响程度的影响;例如,孕期/幼儿期季节性变化的敏感性。