Su Dejun
University of Texas-Pan American, Department of Sociology, 1201 W. University Dr. Edinburg, TX 78541, Tel: 956-380-8798.
Popul Dev Rev. 2009 Jun 12;35(2):275-295. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00276.x.
This study examines the relation between risk exposures in early life and hazard of mortality among 11,978 Union Army veterans aged 50 and over in 1900. Veterans' risk exposures prior to enlistment-as approximated by birth season, country of origin, residential region, city size, and height at enlistment-significantly influence their chance of survival after 1900. These effects are robust irrespective of whether or not socioeconomic well-being circa 1900 has been taken into account; however, they are sensitive to the particular age periods that have been selected for survival analysis. Whereas some of the effects such as being born in Ireland and coming from big cities became fully unfolded in the first decade after 1900 and then dissipated over time, the effects of birth season, being born in Germany, residential region in the U.S., and height at enlistment were more salient in the post-1910 periods. Height at enlistment shows a positive association with risk of mortality in the post-1910 periods. Compared to corresponding findings from more recent cohorts, the exceptional rigidity of the effects of risk exposures prior to enlistment on old-age mortality among the veterans highlights the harshness of living conditions early in their life.
本研究调查了1900年时11978名年龄在50岁及以上的联邦军队退伍军人早年的风险暴露与死亡风险之间的关系。退伍军人入伍前的风险暴露——以出生季节、原籍国、居住地区、城市规模和入伍时的身高来近似衡量——对他们1900年以后的生存几率有显著影响。无论是否考虑了1900年前后的社会经济状况,这些影响都是稳健的;然而,它们对生存分析所选择的特定年龄段很敏感。例如,出生在爱尔兰和来自大城市等一些影响在1900年后的第一个十年中充分显现,然后随着时间推移而消散,而出生季节、出生在德国、在美国的居住地区以及入伍时的身高这些影响在1910年以后的时期更为显著。入伍时的身高在1910年以后的时期与死亡风险呈正相关。与最近队列的相应研究结果相比,退伍军人入伍前的风险暴露对老年死亡率影响的异常稳定性凸显了他们早年生活条件的艰苦。