Lunceford Jared K, Davidian Marie
Merck Research Laboratories, RY34-A316, P.O. Box 2000, Rahway, NJ 07065-0900, USA.
Stat Med. 2004 Oct 15;23(19):2937-60. doi: 10.1002/sim.1903.
Estimation of treatment effects with causal interpretation from observational data is complicated because exposure to treatment may be confounded with subject characteristics. The propensity score, the probability of treatment exposure conditional on covariates, is the basis for two approaches to adjusting for confounding: methods based on stratification of observations by quantiles of estimated propensity scores and methods based on weighting observations by the inverse of estimated propensity scores. We review popular versions of these approaches and related methods offering improved precision, describe theoretical properties and highlight their implications for practice, and present extensive comparisons of performance that provide guidance for practical use.
从观察性数据中进行具有因果解释的治疗效果估计很复杂,因为治疗暴露可能与个体特征相混淆。倾向得分,即基于协变量的治疗暴露概率,是两种调整混杂因素方法的基础:一种是基于按估计倾向得分的分位数对观察值进行分层的方法,另一种是基于用估计倾向得分的倒数对观察值进行加权的方法。我们回顾了这些方法的流行版本以及提供更高精度的相关方法,描述了理论特性并强调它们对实践的影响,还进行了广泛的性能比较以为实际应用提供指导。