Souza Veena C de, Strachan David P
Department of Public Health Sciences, St George's Hospital Medical School, Cranmer Terrace, London SW17 0RE, UK.
J Public Health (Oxf). 2005 Jun;27(2):165-70. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdi001. Epub 2005 Mar 4.
There is currently a trend in Britain to concentrate specialist services in a smaller number of hospitals in order to improve outcomes. However, for rapidly life-threatening conditions such as ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (RAAAs), the resulting increased travel time to hospital might adversely affect survival. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between travel time to the nearest hospital and survival from RAAAs in West Sussex.
Information was collected regarding outcome, postcode, age, sex and diagnoses for all West Sussex residents who had a RAAA between January 1996 and September 1999, including admissions and deaths, wherever they occurred. Deprivation scores were calculated based on postcode. Potential travel time to the nearest hospital was calculated using "Microsoft AutoRoute Express" and its effect on outcome was analysed using multiple logistic regression.
After adjusting for age, sex, Townsend deprivation score and nearest hospital, the odds ratio for survival associated with a 10 min increase in potential travel time to the nearest hospital was 0.97 (0.88 unadjusted) (95 percent confidence interval for adjusted odds ratio: 0.70 to 1.34; p = 0.86).
Several previous studies suggested better survival with longer distances travelled. They are likely to be biased by omission of community deaths. This methodologically better study found no such relationship between RAAA survival and travelling time to hospital in West Sussex, although confidence intervals were wide. This is particularly pertinent while there is a push to centralize vascular and other services in the United Kingdom.
目前英国有一种趋势,即将专科服务集中在数量较少的医院,以改善治疗效果。然而,对于诸如腹主动脉瘤破裂(RAAA)这种迅速危及生命的病症,由此导致的前往医院的时间增加可能会对生存率产生不利影响。本研究旨在评估西苏塞克斯郡居民前往最近医院的时间与RAAA生存率之间的关系。
收集了1996年1月至1999年9月期间所有患有RAAA的西苏塞克斯郡居民的结局、邮政编码、年龄、性别和诊断信息,包括无论在何处发生的入院和死亡情况。根据邮政编码计算贫困得分。使用“Microsoft AutoRoute Express”计算前往最近医院的潜在旅行时间,并使用多元逻辑回归分析其对结局的影响。
在调整年龄、性别、汤森贫困得分和最近医院等因素后,前往最近医院的潜在旅行时间每增加10分钟,生存的优势比为0.97(未调整时为0.88)(调整后优势比的95%置信区间:0.70至1.34;p = 0.86)。
先前的几项研究表明,行程距离越长生存率越高。这些研究可能因遗漏社区死亡情况而存在偏差。这项方法学上更优的研究发现,在西苏塞克斯郡,RAAA生存率与前往医院的时间之间不存在这种关系,尽管置信区间较宽。在英国推动血管及其他服务集中化的当下,这一点尤为相关。