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日本气候变化下的洪水管理及其未来展望

Flood management under climatic variability and its future perspective in Japan.

作者信息

Ikeda T, Yoshitani J, Terakawa A

机构信息

Secretariat for Preparatory Activities, UNESCO-PWRI Centre, Public Works Research Institute (PWRI), 1-6, Minamihara, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8516, Japan.

出版信息

Water Sci Technol. 2005;51(5):133-40.

Abstract

Devastating magnitudes of flood disasters have been occurring in various areas of Japan, and their impact has been increasing in recent years. Looking ahead, it is foreseen that rainfall and its patterns will be altered due to the climate change accompanied by global warming, and there is concern that the intensity and frequency of flood disasters might be exacerbated. This paper aims to introduce flood characteristics and management policies in Japan that have been undertaken for a long time in order to mitigate these recurrent flood disasters. It also highlights extremely devastating floods in some areas that occurred under recent climate variability, and to address the progress in the assessment of hydro-meteorological tendencies and in the promotion of dialogue among climatologists and hydrologists. Lastly, a new initiative to establish an intemational centre on water-related hazards and its risk management is presented.

摘要

日本各地不断发生破坏性极大的洪水灾害,近年来其影响还在不断加剧。展望未来,预计随着全球变暖带来的气候变化,降雨及其模式将会改变,人们担心洪水灾害的强度和频率可能会加剧。本文旨在介绍日本长期以来为减轻这些频发的洪水灾害所采取的洪水特征及管理政策。文中还着重介绍了在近期气候变化背景下一些地区发生的极具破坏性的洪水,并阐述了水文气象趋势评估方面的进展以及气候学家和水文学家之间对话的推进情况。最后,提出了一项建立国际水相关灾害及其风险管理中心的新倡议。

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