Griffith Daniel A
School of Social Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, TX, USA.
Int J Health Geogr. 2005 Aug 2;4:18. doi: 10.1186/1476-072X-4-18.
West Nile Virus has quickly become a serious problem in the United States (US). Its extremely rapid diffusion throughout the country argues for a better understanding of its geographic dimensions. Both 2003 and 2004 percentages of deaths by numbers of reported human cases, for the 48 coterminous US states, are analyzed with a range of spatial statistical models, seeking to furnish a fuller appreciation of the variety of models available to researchers interested in analytical disease mapping. Comparative results indicate that no single spatial statistical model specification furnishes a preferred description of these data, although normal approximations appear to furnish some questionable implications. Findings also suggest several possible future research topics.
西尼罗河病毒在美国已迅速成为一个严重问题。它在全国范围内极其迅速地扩散,这就要求我们更好地了解其地理范围。利用一系列空间统计模型,对美国本土48个州2003年和2004年按报告的人类病例数计算的死亡百分比进行了分析,旨在让对疾病分析绘图感兴趣的研究人员更全面地了解可用的各种模型。比较结果表明,没有一种单一的空间统计模型设定能为这些数据提供最佳描述,尽管正态近似似乎会产生一些有问题的影响。研究结果还提出了几个未来可能的研究课题。