Hanson R Karl, Morton-Bourgon Kelly E
Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness Canada, Ottawa, Ontario K1A 0P8, Canada.
J Consult Clin Psychol. 2005 Dec;73(6):1154-63. doi: 10.1037/0022-006X.73.6.1154.
A meta-analysis of 82 recidivism studies (1,620 findings from 29,450 sexual offenders) identified deviant sexual preferences and antisocial orientation as the major predictors of sexual recidivism for both adult and adolescent sexual offenders. Antisocial orientation was the major predictor of violent recidivism and general (any) recidivism. The review also identified some dynamic risk factors that have the potential of being useful treatment targets (e.g., sexual preoccupations, general self-regulation problems). Many of the variables commonly addressed in sex offender treatment programs (e.g., psychological distress, denial of sex crime, victim empathy, stated motivation for treatment) had little or no relationship with sexual or violent recidivism.
一项对82项累犯研究(来自29450名性犯罪者的1620项研究结果)的荟萃分析确定,异常性偏好和反社会倾向是成年和青少年性犯罪者性累犯的主要预测因素。反社会倾向是暴力累犯和一般(任何)累犯的主要预测因素。该综述还确定了一些动态风险因素,这些因素有可能成为有用的治疗靶点(例如,性痴迷、一般自我调节问题)。性犯罪者治疗项目中通常涉及的许多变量(例如,心理困扰、对性犯罪的否认、对受害者的同理心、声称的治疗动机)与性或暴力累犯几乎没有关系。