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坦桑尼亚小农户奶牛场边缘无浆体的血清流行率估计及风险因素

Seroprevalence estimation and risk factors for A. marginale on smallholder dairy farms in Tanzania.

作者信息

Swai E S, Karimuribo E D, Ogden N H, French N P, Fitzpatrick J L, Bryant M J, Kambarage D M

机构信息

Veterinary Investigation Centre, Arusha.

出版信息

Trop Anim Health Prod. 2005 Nov;37(8):599-610. doi: 10.1007/s11250-005-4307-y.

Abstract

A cross-sectional serological survey of A. marginale was conducted on 200 randomly selected smallholder farms in each of the Tanga and Iringa Regions of Tanzania between January and April 1999. Sera, from dairy cattle of all ages, sexes and breeds were tested for antibodies against A. marginale using an indirect enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Antibodies to A. marginale were present in cattle throughout the study areas and the overall prevalence was 20% for Tanga and 37% for Iringa. The forces of infection based on the age seroprevalence profile were estimated at 8 for Tanga and 15 for Iringa per 100 cattle years-risk, respectively. In both regions, seroprevalence increased with age (beta = 0.01 and 0.017 per year of age, p < 0.005, in Tanga and Iringa, respectively). Older animals in Iringa were significantly and negatively associated with decreased seropositivity (beta = -0.002, p = 0.0029). Further results of logistic regression models reveal that geographic location of animals in Tanga was associated with seropositivity (odds ratio (OR) = 2.94, p = 0.005, for Tanga Rural and OR = 2.38, p = 0.066, for Muheza). Animals acquired as a gift in Iringa had higher odds for seropositivity than brought-in cattle (OR = 2.44, p = 0.005). Our study has identified and quantified some key risk factors that can guide planners devising disease control strategies.

摘要

1999年1月至4月期间,在坦桑尼亚的坦噶和伊林加地区,对200个随机选择的小农户农场进行了一项关于边缘无浆体的横断面血清学调查。使用间接酶联免疫吸附试验,对所有年龄、性别和品种的奶牛血清进行了抗边缘无浆体抗体检测。在整个研究区域的牛群中均检测到了抗边缘无浆体抗体,坦噶地区的总体患病率为20%,伊林加地区为37%。根据年龄血清阳性率分布估计,每100头牛年风险中,坦噶地区的感染率为8,伊林加地区为15。在两个地区,血清阳性率均随年龄增长而升高(坦噶地区和伊林加地区每年分别为β = 0.01和0.017,p < 0.005)。伊林加地区年龄较大的动物血清阳性率显著降低且呈负相关(β = -0.002,p = 0.0029)。逻辑回归模型的进一步结果显示,坦噶地区动物的地理位置与血清阳性率有关(坦噶农村地区的优势比(OR) = 2.94,p = 0.005;穆赫扎地区的OR = 2.38,p = 0.066)。在伊林加地区,作为礼物获得的动物血清阳性的几率高于引进的牛(OR = 2.44,p = 0.005)。我们的研究已经确定并量化了一些关键风险因素,可为制定疾病控制策略的规划者提供指导。

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