Nakling Jakob, Backe Bjørn
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Oppland Central Hospital, Lillehammer, Norway.
Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2006;85(6):663-8. doi: 10.1080/00016340500543733.
The aim of this study was to evaluate the mortality and morbidity of conservatively managed post-term pregnancies (gestation 294 days and beyond).
This is a population-based prospective study. The sample was comprised of all women (N=17,493) with a singleton pregnancy in one Norwegian county from 1989 to 1999, with a second-trimester ultrasound examination and delivery after 37 completed gestational weeks.
One thousand three hundred and thirty-six (7.6%) of the deliveries were post-term. In this group, the increase in perinatal mortality reached borderline significance [relative risk (RR) 2.0; 95% confidence interval 0.9-4.6]. Perinatal morbidity expressed as Apgar score <7 at 5 min (RR 2.0; 95% confidence interval 1.2-3.3), and transferal to neonatal intensive care unit (RR 1.6; 95% confidence interval 1.3-2.0) were significantly more frequent. However, RR for perinatal death calculated per 1000 ongoing pregnancies increased significantly from 0.2 in week 37-3.7 in week 42, using perinatal mortality in gestational week 41 as a reference.
Our results indicate that expectant management of post-term pregnancies allowing pregnancies to continue up to week 43 carries a risk for perinatal mortality and morbidity. The risk increases already from gestational week 41. The guidelines for management of post-term pregnancies should be revised.
本研究的目的是评估保守处理过期妊娠(妊娠294天及以后)的死亡率和发病率。
这是一项基于人群的前瞻性研究。样本包括1989年至1999年挪威一个郡所有单胎妊娠的妇女(N = 17493),这些妇女在孕中期进行了超声检查,并在妊娠37周后分娩。
1336例(7.6%)分娩为过期妊娠。在该组中,围产期死亡率的增加达到临界显著水平[相对危险度(RR)2.0;95%可信区间0.9 - 4.6]。以5分钟时阿氏评分<7表示的围产期发病率(RR 2.0;95%可信区间1.2 - 3.3)以及转入新生儿重症监护病房的情况(RR 1.6;95%可信区间1.3 - 2.0)明显更频繁。然而,以妊娠41周时的围产期死亡率为参照,每1000例持续妊娠计算的围产期死亡RR从妊娠37周时的0.2显著增加至妊娠42周时的3.7。
我们的结果表明,对过期妊娠进行期待管理,让妊娠持续至43周会带来围产期死亡率和发病率的风险。该风险在妊娠41周时就已开始增加。过期妊娠的管理指南应予以修订。