Price David B, Tinkelman David G, Nordyke Robert J, Isonaka Sharon, Halbert R J
Cerner Health Insights, 9100 Wilshire Blvd, Suite 655E, Beverly Hills, CA 90212, USA.
Chest. 2006 Jun;129(6):1531-9. doi: 10.1378/chest.129.6.1531.
In most primary care settings, spirometric screening of all patients at risk is not practical. In prior work, we developed questionnaires to help identify COPD in two risk groups: (1) persons with a positive smoking history but no history of obstructive lung disease (case finding), and (2) patients with prior evidence of obstructive lung disease (differential diagnosis). For these questionnaires, we now present a scoring system for use in primary care.
Scores for individual questions were based on the regression coefficients from logistic regression models using a spirometry-based diagnosis of obstruction as the reference outcome. Receiver operator characteristic analysis was used to determine performance characteristics for each questionnaire. Several simplified scoring systems were developed and tested.
For both scenarios, we created a scoring system with two cut points intended to place subjects within one of three zones: persons with a high likelihood of having obstruction (high predictive value of a positive test result); persons with a low likelihood of obstruction (high predictive value of a negative test result); and an intermediate zone. Using these scoring systems, we achieved sensitivities of 54 to 82%, specificities of 58 to 88%, positive predictive values of 30 to 78%, and negative predictive values of 71 to 93%.
These questionnaires can be used to help identify persons likely to have COPD among specific risk groups. The use of a simplified scoring system makes these tools beneficial in the primary care setting. Used in conjunction with spirometry, these tools can help improve the efficiency and accuracy of COPD diagnosis in primary care.
在大多数基层医疗环境中,对所有有风险的患者进行肺功能筛查并不实际。在之前的工作中,我们开发了问卷,以帮助在两个风险组中识别慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD):(1)有吸烟史但无阻塞性肺疾病史的人群(病例发现),以及(2)有阻塞性肺疾病既往证据的患者(鉴别诊断)。对于这些问卷,我们现在提出一种用于基层医疗的评分系统。
各个问题的得分基于逻辑回归模型的回归系数,该模型以基于肺功能测定的阻塞性诊断作为参考结果。采用受试者操作特征分析来确定每份问卷的性能特征。开发并测试了几种简化的评分系统。
对于这两种情况,我们都创建了一个带有两个切点的评分系统,旨在将受试者置于三个区域之一:阻塞可能性高的人群(阳性检测结果的高预测价值);阻塞可能性低的人群(阴性检测结果的高预测价值);以及一个中间区域。使用这些评分系统,我们实现了54%至82%的灵敏度、58%至88%的特异度、30%至78%的阳性预测值以及71%至93%的阴性预测值。
这些问卷可用于帮助在特定风险组中识别可能患有COPD的人群。简化评分系统的使用使这些工具在基层医疗环境中具有益处。与肺功能测定结合使用时,这些工具可有助于提高基层医疗中COPD诊断的效率和准确性。