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自适应网络上的流行病动力学

Epidemic dynamics on an adaptive network.

作者信息

Gross Thilo, D'Lima Carlos J Dommar, Blasius Bernd

机构信息

AG Nichtlineare Dynamik, Institut für Physik, Universität Potsdam, Am Neuen Palais 10, 14469 Potsdam, Germany.

出版信息

Phys Rev Lett. 2006 May 26;96(20):208701. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.96.208701. Epub 2006 May 24.

Abstract

Many real-world networks are characterized by adaptive changes in their topology depending on the state of their nodes. Here we study epidemic dynamics on an adaptive network, where the susceptibles are able to avoid contact with the infected by rewiring their network connections. This gives rise to assortative degree correlation, oscillations, hysteresis, and first order transitions. We propose a low-dimensional model to describe the system and present a full local bifurcation analysis. Our results indicate that the interplay between dynamics and topology can have important consequences for the spreading of infectious diseases and related applications.

摘要

许多现实世界中的网络具有根据其节点状态进行拓扑自适应变化的特征。在此,我们研究自适应网络上的流行病动力学,其中易感者能够通过重新连接其网络连接来避免与感染者接触。这会导致度的相关性、振荡、滞后和一阶相变。我们提出一个低维模型来描述该系统,并进行完整的局部分岔分析。我们的结果表明,动力学与拓扑之间的相互作用可能对传染病的传播及相关应用产生重要影响。

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