White Chapin
Congressional Budget Office, Washington, DC, USA.
Health Aff (Millwood). 2007 Jan-Feb;26(1):154-61. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.26.1.154.
This paper compares the long-term (1970-2002) rates of real growth in health spending per capita in the United States and a group of high-income countries in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Real health spending growth is decomposed into population aging, overall economic growth, and excess growth. Although rates of aging and overall economic growth were similar, annual excess growth was much higher in the United States (2.0 percent) versus the OECD countries studied (1.1 percent). That difference, which is of an economically important magnitude, suggests that country-specific institutional factors might contribute to long-term health spending trends.
本文比较了美国以及经济合作与发展组织(OECD)中的一组高收入国家在1970年至2002年期间人均医疗支出的实际增长率。实际医疗支出增长被分解为人口老龄化、总体经济增长和超额增长。尽管老龄化和总体经济增长的速度相似,但美国的年超额增长率(2.0%)远高于所研究的经合组织国家(1.1%)。这一在经济上具有重要意义的差异表明,特定国家的制度因素可能会影响长期医疗支出趋势。