Rehm Jürgen, Patra Jayadeep, Popova Svetlana
Public Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Canada.
Int J Cancer. 2007 Sep 1;121(5):1132-7. doi: 10.1002/ijc.22798.
The objective of this study was to conduct a pooled analysis to evaluate the strength of the evidence available in the epidemiological literature on the association between alcohol drinking cessation and reduction in esophageal and head and neck cancer risks. A search using several electronic bibliographic databases was performed for relevant epidemiological literature between 1966 and 2006. A total of 13 unique studies including over 5,000 cases were found. Categorical and third order polynomial (cubic) regression models were fitted to estimate the temporal relationship between years of drinking cessation and risk of cancer. The risk of esophageal cancer significantly increased within the first 2 yr following cessation [odds ratios (ORs)(0-2 yr): 2.50, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 2.23-2.80], then decreased rapidly and significantly after longer periods of abstention (OR(15+ yr): 0.37, 95% CI: 0.33-0.41). An elevated risk, although not strong as for esophageal cancer, was observed for head and neck cancer up to 10 yr of quitting drinking (OR(5-10 yr): 1.26, 95% CI: 1.18-1.35). Such risk only reduced after 10 yr of cessation (OR(10-16 yr): 0.67, 95% CI: 0.63-0.73). After more than 20 yr of alcohol cessation, the risks for both cancers were no longer significantly different from the risk of never drinkers. Our findings demonstrate an important role of alcohol cessation on esophageal and head and neck carcinogenesis.
本研究的目的是进行一项汇总分析,以评估流行病学文献中关于戒酒与降低食管癌及头颈癌风险之间关联的现有证据的强度。利用多个电子文献数据库对1966年至2006年间的相关流行病学文献进行了检索。共发现13项独特的研究,包括5000多例病例。采用分类和三阶多项式(三次)回归模型来估计戒酒年限与癌症风险之间的时间关系。食管癌风险在戒酒的头2年内显著增加[优势比(OR)(0 - 2年):2.50,95%置信区间(CI):2.23 - 2.80],然后在更长时间戒酒之后迅速且显著下降(OR(15年以上):0.37,95% CI:0.33 - 0.41)。对于头颈癌,在戒酒长达10年时观察到风险升高,尽管不如食管癌那样强烈(OR(5 - 10年):1.26,95% CI:1.18 - 1.35)。这种风险仅在戒酒10年后降低(OR(10 - 16年):0.67,95% CI:0.63 - 0.73)。在戒酒超过20年后,这两种癌症的风险与从不饮酒者的风险不再有显著差异。我们的研究结果表明戒酒在食管癌及头颈癌致癌过程中起着重要作用。