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高收入人群预期寿命中性别差异的缩小:死亡率年龄模式差异的影响

The narrowing sex differential in life expectancy in high-income populations: effects of differences in the age pattern of mortality.

作者信息

Glei Dana A, Horiuchi Shiro

机构信息

University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.

出版信息

Popul Stud (Camb). 2007 Jul;61(2):141-59. doi: 10.1080/00324720701331433.

Abstract

Using data from the Human Mortality Database for 29 high-income national populations (1751-2004), we review trends in the sex differential in e(0). The widening of this gap during most of the 1900s was due largely to a slower mortality decline for males than females, which previous studies attributed to behavioural factors (e.g., smoking). More recently, the gap began to narrow in most countries, and researchers tried to explain this reversal with the same factors. However, our decomposition analysis reveals that, for the majority of countries, the recent narrowing is due primarily to sex differences in the age pattern of mortality rather than declining sex ratios in mortality: the same rate of mortality decline produces smaller gains in e(0) for women than for men because women's deaths are less dispersed across age (i.e., survivorship is more rectangular).

摘要

利用人类死亡率数据库中29个高收入国家人口(1751 - 2004年)的数据,我们回顾了预期寿命(e(0))的性别差异趋势。在20世纪的大部分时间里,这一差距的扩大主要是由于男性死亡率下降速度比女性慢,先前的研究将其归因于行为因素(如吸烟)。最近,在大多数国家,这一差距开始缩小,研究人员试图用相同的因素来解释这种逆转。然而,我们的分解分析表明,对于大多数国家来说,近期差距缩小主要是由于死亡率年龄模式的性别差异,而非死亡率性别比下降:相同的死亡率下降速度使女性预期寿命(e(0))的增长幅度小于男性,因为女性死亡在各年龄段的分布更为集中(即生存曲线更接近矩形)。

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