Richard Jean-Luc, Vidondo Beatriz, Mäusezahl Mirjam
Division of Communicable Diseases, Federal Office of Public Health, Schwarztorstrasse 96, Bern, Switzerland.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2008;23(1):55-65. doi: 10.1007/s10654-007-9187-1. Epub 2007 Sep 26.
A sensitive, specific and timely surveillance is necessary to monitor progress towards measles elimination. We evaluated the performance of sentinel and mandatory-based surveillance systems for measles in Switzerland during a 5-year period by comparing 145 sentinel and 740 mandatory notified cases. The higher proportion of physicians who reported at least one case per year in the sentinel system suggests underreporting in the recently introduced mandatory surveillance for measles. Accordingly, the latter reported 2-36-fold lower estimates for incidence rates than the sentinel surveillance. However, these estimates were only 0.6-12-fold lower when we considered confirmed cases alone, which indicates a higher specificity of the mandatory surveillance system. In contrast, the sentinel network, which covers 3.5% of all outpatient consultations, detected only weakly and late a major national measles epidemic in 2003 and completely missed 2 of 10 cantonal outbreaks. Despite its better timeliness and greater sensitivity in case detection, the sentinel system, in the current situation of low incidence, is insufficient to perform measles control and to monitor progress towards elimination.
为监测消除麻疹进展情况,需要开展灵敏、特异且及时的监测。我们通过比较145例哨点监测病例和740例法定报告病例,对瑞士5年间基于哨点和法定的麻疹监测系统的性能进行了评估。哨点系统中每年至少报告1例病例的医生比例更高,这表明在最近引入的麻疹法定监测中存在漏报情况。因此,法定监测报告的发病率估计值比哨点监测低2至36倍。然而,当仅考虑确诊病例时,这些估计值仅低0.6至12倍,这表明法定监测系统具有更高的特异性。相比之下,覆盖所有门诊咨询量3.5%的哨点网络在2003年对一次重大的全国性麻疹疫情检测得较晚且力度较弱,完全错过了10个州中的2次疫情爆发。尽管哨点系统在病例检测方面具有更好的及时性和更高的敏感性,但在当前低发病率的情况下,它不足以开展麻疹控制工作并监测消除麻疹的进展情况。