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高疟疾流行率的地理均质区域内幼儿疟疾发病率的空间变异。

Spatial variation of malaria incidence in young children from a geographically homogeneous area with high endemicity.

作者信息

Kreuels Benno, Kobbe Robin, Adjei Samuel, Kreuzberg Christina, von Reden Claudia, Bäter Kathrin, Klug Stefan, Busch Wibke, Adjei Ohene, May Jürgen

机构信息

Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Hamburg, Germany.

出版信息

J Infect Dis. 2008 Jan 1;197(1):85-93. doi: 10.1086/524066.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In sub-Saharan Africa, malaria is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among young children. Detailed knowledge of spatial variation of malaria epidemiology and associated risk factors is important for planning and evaluating malaria-control measures.

METHODS

The spatial variation of malaria incidences and socioeconomic factors were assessed over 21 months, from January 2003 to September 2005, in 535 children from 9 villages of a small rural area with high Plasmodium falciparum transmission in Ghana. Household positions were mapped by use of a global positioning system, and the spatial effects on malaria rates were assessed by means of ecological analyses and bivariate Poisson regression controlling for possible confounding factors.

RESULTS

Malaria incidence was surprisingly heterogeneous between villages, and ecological analyses showed strong correlations with village area (R(2) = 0.74; P = .003) and population size (R(2) = 0.68; P = .006). Malaria risk was affected by a number of socioeconomic factors. Poisson regression showed an independent linear rate reduction with increasing distance between children's households and the fringe of the forest.

CONCLUSIONS

The exact location of households in villages is an independent and important factor for the variation of malaria incidence in children from high-transmission areas. This fact should be considered in the planning of intervention trials and in spatial targeting of malaria interventions at a local level.

摘要

背景

在撒哈拉以南非洲地区,疟疾是幼儿发病和死亡的主要原因。详细了解疟疾流行病学的空间变异及相关危险因素对于规划和评估疟疾控制措施至关重要。

方法

2003年1月至2005年9月的21个月期间,对加纳一个恶性疟原虫传播率高的农村小地区9个村庄的535名儿童的疟疾发病率和社会经济因素的空间变异进行了评估。利用全球定位系统绘制家庭位置图,并通过生态分析和双变量泊松回归评估对疟疾发病率的空间影响,同时控制可能的混杂因素。

结果

各村庄之间的疟疾发病率差异惊人,生态分析显示与村庄面积(R² = 0.74;P = 0.003)和人口规模(R² = 0.68;P = 0.006)有很强的相关性。疟疾风险受多种社会经济因素影响。泊松回归显示,随着儿童家庭与森林边缘之间距离的增加,发病率呈独立线性下降。

结论

家庭在村庄中的具体位置是高传播地区儿童疟疾发病率变异的一个独立且重要的因素。在规划干预试验和疟疾干预措施的局部空间定位时应考虑这一因素。

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