Bell Michelle L, Dominici Francesca
School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511,
Am J Epidemiol. 2008 Apr 15;167(8):986-97. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwm396. Epub 2008 Feb 25.
Previous research provided evidence of an association between short-term exposure to ozone and mortality risk and of heterogeneity in the risk across communities. The authors investigated whether this heterogeneity can be explained by community-specific characteristics: race, income, education, urbanization, transportation use, particulate matter and ozone levels, number of ozone monitors, weather, and use of air conditioning. Their study included data on 98 US urban communities for 1987 to 2000 from the National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study; US Census; and American Housing Survey. On average across the communities, a 10-ppb increase in the previous week's ozone level was associated with a 0.52% (95% posterior interval: 0.28, 0.77) increase in mortality. The authors found that community-level characteristics modify the relation between ozone and mortality. Higher effect estimates were associated with higher unemployment, fraction of the Black/African-American population, and public transportation use and with lower temperatures or prevalence of central air conditioning. These differences may relate to underlying health status, differences in exposure, or other factors. Results show that some segments of the population may face higher health burdens of ozone pollution.
先前的研究提供了短期接触臭氧与死亡风险之间存在关联以及不同社区风险存在异质性的证据。作者调查了这种异质性是否可以由社区特定特征来解释:种族、收入、教育程度、城市化、交通使用情况、颗粒物和臭氧水平、臭氧监测器数量、天气以及空调使用情况。他们的研究纳入了1987年至2000年期间来自美国国家发病率、死亡率与空气污染研究、美国人口普查以及美国住房调查的98个美国城市社区的数据。在所有社区中,前一周臭氧水平每增加10 ppb,死亡率平均会增加0.52%(95%后验区间:0.28,0.77)。作者发现社区层面的特征会改变臭氧与死亡率之间的关系。较高的效应估计值与较高的失业率、黑人/非裔美国人人口比例、公共交通使用率以及较低的温度或中央空调普及率相关。这些差异可能与潜在的健康状况、接触差异或其他因素有关。结果表明,部分人群可能面临更高的臭氧污染健康负担。