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呼吸衰竭早产儿死亡或支气管肺发育不良的预测因素

Predictors of death or bronchopulmonary dysplasia in preterm infants with respiratory failure.

作者信息

Ambalavanan N, Van Meurs K P, Perritt R, Carlo W A, Ehrenkranz R A, Stevenson D K, Lemons J A, Poole W K, Higgins R D

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL 35249, USA.

出版信息

J Perinatol. 2008 Jun;28(6):420-6. doi: 10.1038/jp.2008.18. Epub 2008 Mar 13.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To identify the variables that predict death/physiologic bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) in preterm infants with severe respiratory failure.

STUDY DESIGN

The study was a secondary analysis of data from the NICHD Neonatal Research Network trial of inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) in preterm infants. Stepwise logistic regression models and Classification and Regression Tree (CART) models were developed for the outcome of death or physiologic BPD (O(2) at 36 weeks post-menstrual age).

RESULT

Death and/or BPD was associated with lower birth weight, higher oxygen requirement, male gender, additional surfactant doses, higher oxygenation index and outborn status, but not the magnitude of response in PaO(2) to iNO. The positive predictive value of the CART model was 82% at 95% sensitivity.

CONCLUSIONS

The major factors associated with death/BPD were an increased severity of respiratory failure, lower birth weight, male gender and outborn status, but not the magnitude of initial response to iNO.

摘要

目的

确定预测患有严重呼吸衰竭的早产儿死亡/生理性支气管肺发育不良(BPD)的变量。

研究设计

本研究是对美国国立儿童健康与人类发展研究所(NICHD)新生儿研究网络关于早产儿吸入一氧化氮(iNO)试验数据的二次分析。针对死亡或生理性BPD(孕龄36周时的氧气需求)这一结局,建立了逐步逻辑回归模型和分类回归树(CART)模型。

结果

死亡和/或BPD与较低出生体重、较高氧气需求、男性、额外的表面活性剂剂量、较高的氧合指数和外院出生状态相关,但与PaO₂对iNO的反应幅度无关。CART模型在95%灵敏度时的阳性预测值为82%。

结论

与死亡/BPD相关的主要因素是呼吸衰竭严重程度增加、较低出生体重、男性和外院出生状态,而非对iNO的初始反应幅度。

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