Bar D, Gröhn Y T, Bennett G, González R N, Hertl J A, Schulte H F, Tauer L W, Welcome F L, Schukken Y H
Section of Epidemiology, Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA.
J Dairy Sci. 2008 Jun;91(6):2196-204. doi: 10.3168/jds.2007-0460.
Bovine clinical mastitis (CM) can be detrimental to a dairy farm's profitability, not only in terms of lost production and treatment costs, but also because of the loss of the cows themselves. Our objective was to estimate the effects of multiple occurrences of generic bovine CM on mortality and culling. We studied 16,145 lactations from 5 large, high-producing dairy herds, with 3,036 first, 758 second, and 288 third CM cases observed in the first 10 mo after calving. Generalized mixed models, with a random herd effect, were used to quantify the effect of CM on mortality and culling. Other control variables included in the models were parity, stage of lactation, and other diseases. Clinical mastitis in the current month significantly increased mortality in all parities. Among primipara, odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were 5.6 (1.7, 18.0), 23.3 (7.1, 76.2), and 27.8 (3.7, 209.9) for the first, second, and third CM episode, respectively. Among multipara, respective estimates were 9.9 (7.4, 13.2), 12.0 (8.0, 18.0), and 11.5 (6.1, 21.4). Clinical mastitis significantly increased the risk of a cow being culled for a period of at least 2 mo after any CM case. Our findings provide dairy producers with information on mortality and culling associated with CM cases without considering the causative agent, and can also be used for economic analysis of CM management options.
牛临床型乳房炎(CM)会对奶牛场的盈利能力产生不利影响,不仅体现在产量损失和治疗成本方面,还包括奶牛本身的损失。我们的目标是评估一般性牛CM多次发生对死亡率和淘汰率的影响。我们研究了来自5个大型高产奶牛群的16145次泌乳,在产犊后的前10个月观察到3036例首次、758例第二次和288例第三次CM病例。采用具有随机牛群效应的广义混合模型来量化CM对死亡率和淘汰率的影响。模型中纳入的其他控制变量包括胎次、泌乳阶段和其他疾病。当月的临床型乳房炎显著增加了所有胎次的死亡率。在初产牛中,首次、第二次和第三次CM发作的优势比及95%置信区间分别为5.6(1.7,18.0)、23.3(7.1,76.2)和27.8(3.7,209.9)。在经产牛中,相应的估计值分别为9.9(7.4,13.2)、12.0(8.0,18.0)和11.5(6.1,21.4)。临床型乳房炎显著增加了奶牛在任何CM病例发生后至少2个月内被淘汰的风险。我们的研究结果为奶农提供了与CM病例相关的死亡率和淘汰率信息,且未考虑病原体,还可用于CM管理方案的经济分析。