Moore Richard G, McMeekin D Scott, Brown Amy K, DiSilvestro Paul, Miller M Craig, Allard W Jeffrey, Gajewski Walter, Kurman Robert, Bast Robert C, Skates Steven J
Program in Women's Oncology, Women and Infants' Hospital, Brown University, Providence, RI 02925, USA.
Gynecol Oncol. 2009 Jan;112(1):40-6. doi: 10.1016/j.ygyno.2008.08.031. Epub 2008 Oct 12.
Patients diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) have improved outcomes when cared for at centers experienced in the management of EOC. The objective of this trial was to validate a predictive model to assess the risk for EOC in women with a pelvic mass.
Women diagnosed with a pelvic mass and scheduled to have surgery were enrolled on a multicenter prospective study. Preoperative serum levels of HE4 and CA125 were measured. Separate logistic regression algorithms for premenopausal and postmenopausal women were utilized to categorize patients into low and high risk groups for EOC.
Twelve sites enrolled 531 evaluable patients with 352 benign tumors, 129 EOC, 22 LMP tumors, 6 non EOC and 22 non ovarian cancers. The postmenopausal group contained 150 benign cases of which 112 were classified as low risk giving a specificity of 75.0% (95% CI 66.9-81.4), and 111 EOC and 6 LMP tumors of which 108 were classified as high risk giving a sensitivity of 92.3% (95% CI=85.9-96.4). The premenopausal group had 202 benign cases of which 151 were classified as low risk providing a specificity of 74.8% (95% CI=68.2-80.6), and 18 EOC and 16 LMP tumors of which 26 were classified as high risk, providing a sensitivity of 76.5% (95% CI=58.8-89.3).
An algorithm utilizing HE4 and CA125 successfully classified patients into high and low risk groups with 93.8% of EOC correctly classified as high risk. This model can be used to effectively triage patients to centers of excellence.
上皮性卵巢癌(EOC)患者在由有EOC管理经验的中心进行护理时,其治疗效果会有所改善。本试验的目的是验证一种预测模型,以评估盆腔肿块女性患EOC的风险。
诊断为盆腔肿块并计划进行手术的女性被纳入一项多中心前瞻性研究。测量术前血清HE4和CA125水平。采用针对绝经前和绝经后女性的单独逻辑回归算法,将患者分为EOC低风险组和高风险组。
12个研究点纳入了531例可评估患者,其中352例为良性肿瘤,129例为EOC,22例为低恶性潜能(LMP)肿瘤,6例为非EOC,22例为非卵巢癌。绝经后组有150例良性病例,其中112例被分类为低风险,特异性为75.0%(95%置信区间66.9 - 81.4);111例EOC和6例LMP肿瘤,其中108例被分类为高风险,敏感性为92.3%(95%置信区间 = 85.9 - 96.4)。绝经前组有202例良性病例,其中151例被分类为低风险,特异性为74.8%(95%置信区间 = 68.2 - 80.6);18例EOC和16例LMP肿瘤,其中26例被分类为高风险,敏感性为76.5%(95%置信区间 = 58.8 - 89.3)。
一种利用HE4和CA125的算法成功地将患者分为高风险组和低风险组,93.8%的EOC被正确分类为高风险。该模型可用于有效地将患者分流到卓越中心。