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手术阿氏评分的效用:4119例患者的验证

Utility of the surgical apgar score: validation in 4119 patients.

作者信息

Regenbogen Scott E, Ehrenfeld Jesse M, Lipsitz Stuart R, Greenberg Caprice C, Hutter Matthew M, Gawande Atul A

机构信息

Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115, USA.

出版信息

Arch Surg. 2009 Jan;144(1):30-6; discussion 37. doi: 10.1001/archsurg.2008.504.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To confirm the utility of a 10-point Surgical Apgar Score to rate surgical outcomes in a large cohort of patients.

DESIGN

Using electronic intraoperative records, we calculated Surgical Apgar Scores during a period of 2 years (July 1, 2003, through June 30, 2005).

SETTING

Major academic medical center.

PATIENTS

Systematic sample of 4119 general and vascular surgery patients enrolled in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program surgical outcomes database at a major academic medical center.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incidence of major postoperative complications and/or death within 30 days of surgery.

RESULTS

Of 1441 patients with scores of 9 to 10, 72 (5.0%) developed major complications within 30 days, including 2 deaths (0.1%). By comparison, among 128 patients with scores of 4 or less, 72 developed major complications (56.3%; relative risk, 11.3; 95% confidence interval, 8.6-14.8; P < .001), of whom 25 died (19.5%; relative risk, 140.7; 95% confidence interval, 33.7-587.4; P < .001). The 3-variable score achieves C statistics of 0.73 for major complications and 0.81 for deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

The Surgical Apgar Score provides a simple, immediate, objective means of measuring and communicating patient outcomes in surgery, using data routinely available in any setting. The score can be effective in identifying patients at higher- and lower-than-average likelihood of major complications and/or death after surgery and may be useful for evaluating interventions to prevent poor outcomes.

摘要

目的

在一大群患者中确认10分制手术阿普加评分对评估手术结果的实用性。

设计

利用电子术中记录,我们计算了2年期间(2003年7月1日至2005年6月30日)的手术阿普加评分。

地点

大型学术医疗中心。

患者

从一所大型学术医疗中心的国家外科质量改进计划手术结果数据库中系统抽取的4119例普通外科和血管外科患者。

主要观察指标

术后30天内发生严重术后并发症和/或死亡的发生率。

结果

在1441例评分为9至10分的患者中,72例(5.0%)在30天内发生了严重并发症,包括2例死亡(0.1%)。相比之下,在128例评分4分及以下的患者中,72例发生了严重并发症(56.3%;相对危险度,11.3;95%置信区间,8.6 - 14.8;P <.001),其中25例死亡(19.5%;相对危险度,140.7;95%置信区间,33.7 - 587.4;P <.001)。该三变量评分对严重并发症的C统计量为0.73,对死亡的C统计量为0.81。

结论

手术阿普加评分提供了一种简单、即时、客观的方法,可利用任何环境中常规可得的数据来衡量和交流手术患者的预后。该评分可有效识别术后发生严重并发症和/或死亡可能性高于或低于平均水平的患者,可能有助于评估预防不良预后的干预措施。

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