Roszell Laurie E, Hahn Fletcher F, Lee Robyn B, Parkhurst Mary Ann
U.S. Army Center for Health Promotion and Preventive Medicine, 5158 Blackhawk Road, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD 21010-5403, USA.
Health Phys. 2009 Mar;96(3):343-51. doi: 10.1097/01.HP.0000338421.07312.ed.
The primary target for uranium toxicity is the kidney. The most frequently used guideline for uranium kidney burdens is the International Commission on Radiological Protection value of 3 microg U g(-1) kidney, a value that is based largely upon chronic studies in animals. In the present effort, a risk model equation was developed to assess potential outcomes of acute uranium exposure. Twenty-seven previously published case studies in which workers were acutely exposed to soluble compounds of uranium (as a result of workplace accidents) were analyzed. Kidney burdens of uranium for these individuals were determined based on uranium in the urine, and correlated with health effects observed over a period of up to 38 years. Based upon the severity of health effects, each individual was assigned a score (- to +++) and then placed into a Renal Effects Group (REG). A discriminant analysis was used to build a model equation to predict the REG based on the amount of uranium in the kidneys. The model equation was able to predict the REG with 85% accuracy. The risk model was used to predict the REG for soldiers exposed to depleted uranium as a result of friendly fire incidents during the 1991 Gulf War. This model equation can also be used to predict the REG of new cases in which acute exposures to uranium have occurred.
铀中毒的主要靶器官是肾脏。最常用的铀肾负荷指导值是国际放射防护委员会规定的3微克铀/克肾脏,该值主要基于对动物的慢性研究。在本研究中,开发了一个风险模型方程来评估急性铀暴露的潜在后果。分析了27篇先前发表的病例研究,这些研究中的工人因工作场所事故而急性接触可溶性铀化合物。根据尿液中的铀含量确定这些个体的铀肾负荷,并将其与长达38年期间观察到的健康影响相关联。根据健康影响的严重程度,为每个个体分配一个分数(-到+++),然后将其归入肾效应组(REG)。使用判别分析建立一个模型方程,根据肾脏中的铀含量预测REG。该模型方程能够以85%的准确率预测REG。该风险模型用于预测1991年海湾战争期间因友军火力事件接触贫铀的士兵的REG。该模型方程还可用于预测发生急性铀暴露的新病例的REG。