Jerrett Michael, Finkelstein Murray M, Brook Jeffrey R, Arain M Altaf, Kanaroglou Palvos, Stieb Dave M, Gilbert Nicolas L, Verma Dave, Finkelstein Norm, Chapman Kenneth R, Sears Malcolm R
Division of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California 94720-7360, USA.
Environ Health Perspect. 2009 May;117(5):772-7. doi: 10.1289/ehp.11533. Epub 2009 Jan 5.
Chronic exposure to traffic-related air pollution (TRAP) may contribute to premature mortality, but few studies to date have addressed this topic.
In this study we assessed the association between TRAP and mortality in Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
We collected nitrogen dioxide samples over two seasons using duplicate two-sided Ogawa passive diffusion samplers at 143 locations across Toronto. We calibrated land use regressions to predict NO2 exposure on a fine scale within Toronto. We used interpolations to predict levels of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter < or = 2.5 microm (PM(2.5)) and ozone levels. We assigned predicted pollution exposures to 2,360 subjects from a respiratory clinic, and abstracted health data on these subjects from medical billings, lung function tests, and diagnoses by pulmonologists. We tracked mortality between 1992 and 2002. We used standard and multilevel Cox proportional hazard models to test associations between air pollution and mortality.
After controlling for age, sex, lung function, obesity, smoking, and neighborhood deprivation, we observed a 17% increase in all-cause mortality and a 40% increase in circulatory mortality from an exposure contrast across the interquartile range of 4 ppb NO2. We observed no significant associations with other pollutants.
Exposure to TRAP was significantly associated with increased all-cause and circulatory mortality in this cohort. A high prevalence of cardiopulmonary disease in the cohort probably limits inference of the findings to populations with a substantial proportion of susceptible individuals.
长期暴露于与交通相关的空气污染(TRAP)可能会导致过早死亡,但迄今为止很少有研究涉及这一主题。
在本研究中,我们评估了加拿大安大略省多伦多市TRAP与死亡率之间的关联。
我们在多伦多市的143个地点使用一式两份的双面小川被动扩散采样器在两个季节收集二氧化氮样本。我们校准了土地利用回归模型,以在多伦多市范围内精细预测二氧化氮暴露情况。我们使用插值法预测空气动力学直径小于或等于2.5微米的颗粒物(PM2.5)水平和臭氧水平。我们将预测的污染暴露情况分配给一家呼吸诊所的2360名受试者,并从医疗账单、肺功能测试和肺科医生的诊断中提取这些受试者的健康数据。我们追踪了1992年至2002年期间的死亡率。我们使用标准和多水平Cox比例风险模型来检验空气污染与死亡率之间的关联。
在控制了年龄、性别、肺功能、肥胖、吸烟和邻里贫困等因素后,我们观察到,二氧化氮暴露量在四分位间距4 ppb范围内的对比中,全因死亡率增加了17%,循环系统死亡率增加了40%。我们未观察到与其他污染物有显著关联。
在该队列中,暴露于TRAP与全因死亡率和循环系统死亡率增加显著相关。该队列中心肺疾病的高患病率可能限制了将这些结果推断至易感个体比例较高的人群。