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基于模拟方法的研究揭示,阿根廷的人群分层强烈影响了亲子鉴定中似然比估计。

Population stratification in Argentina strongly influences likelihood ratio estimates in paternity testing as revealed by a simulation-based approach.

机构信息

PRICAI-FUNDACION FAVALORO, Capital Federal-Buenos Aires, Argentina.

出版信息

Int J Legal Med. 2010 Jan;124(1):63-9. doi: 10.1007/s00414-009-0359-2. Epub 2009 Jun 20.

Abstract

A simulation-based analysis was carried out to investigate the potential effects of population substructure in paternity testing in Argentina. The study was performed by evaluating paternity indexes (PI) calculated from different simulated pedigree scenarios and using 15 autosomal short tandem repeats (STRs) from eight Argentinean databases. The results show important statistically significant differences between PI values depending on the dataset employed. These differences are more dramatic when considering Native American versus urban populations. This study also indicates that the use of Fst to correct for the effect of population stratification on PI might be inappropriate because it cannot account for the particularities of single paternity cases.

摘要

进行了一项基于模拟的分析,以研究在阿根廷进行亲子鉴定时人口亚结构的潜在影响。该研究通过评估来自八个阿根廷数据库的 15 个常染色体短串联重复序列(STR)计算得出的不同模拟系谱场景的亲权指数(PI)来进行。结果表明,根据所使用的数据集,PI 值存在重要的统计学显著差异。当考虑美洲原住民与城市人口之间的差异时,这种差异更为明显。本研究还表明,使用 Fst 来校正人口分层对 PI 的影响可能不合适,因为它不能说明单亲案例的特殊性。

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