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基于2009年6月至7月泰国甲型H1N1流感病毒早期爆发数据的甲型H1N1流感病毒感染流行病学初步分析。

A preliminary analysis of the epidemiology of influenza A(H1N1)v virus infection in Thailand from early outbreak data, June-July 2009.

作者信息

de Silva U C, Warachit J, Waicharoen S, Chittaganpitch M

机构信息

Thailand-Japan Research Collaboration Centre on Emerging and Re-emerging Infections, National Institute of Health, Department of Medical Sciences, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand.

出版信息

Euro Surveill. 2009 Aug 6;14(31):19292. doi: 10.2807/ese.14.31.19292-en.

DOI:10.2807/ese.14.31.19292-en
PMID:19660247
Abstract

As the influenza A(H1N1)v pandemic unfolds globally, it is vital to monitor closely for signals of change in the current patterns of transmission. We estimate the basic reproduction ratio for A(H1N1)v virus in Thailand and propose a method to keep track of the actual case count notwithstanding the exponential growth rate.

摘要

随着甲型H1N1流感大流行在全球范围内展开，密切监测当前传播模式的变化信号至关重要。我们估算了甲型H1N1流感病毒在泰国的基本再生数，并提出了一种方法，用以跟踪实际病例数，尽管其呈指数增长率。

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