Steele Fiona, Sigle-Rushton Wendy, Kravdal Øystein
Centre for Multilevel Modelling, Graduate School of Education, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1TX, United Kingdom.
Demography. 2009 Aug;46(3):553-74. doi: 10.1353/dem.0.0063.
Using high-quality data from Norwegian population registers, we examine the relationship between family disruption and children's educational outcomes. We distinguish between disruptions caused by parental divorce and paternal death and, using a simultaneous equation model, pay particular attention to selection bias in the effect of divorce. We also allow for the possibility that disruption may have different effects at different stages of a child's educational career. Our results suggest that selection on time-invariant maternal characteristics is important and works to overstate the effects of divorce on a child's chances of continuing in education. Nevertheless, the experience of marital breakdown during childhood is associated with lower levels of education, and the effect weakens with the child's age at disruption. The effects of divorce are most pronounced for the transitions during or just beyond the high school level. In models that do not allow for selection, children who experienced a father's death appear less disadvantaged than children whose parents divorced. After we control for selection, however differences in the educational qualifications of children from divorced and bereaved families narrow substantially and, at mean ages of divorce, are almost non-existent.
利用挪威人口登记处的高质量数据,我们研究了家庭破裂与儿童教育成果之间的关系。我们区分了由父母离婚和父亲死亡导致的家庭破裂情况,并使用联立方程模型,特别关注离婚影响中的选择偏差。我们还考虑了家庭破裂可能在孩子教育生涯的不同阶段产生不同影响的可能性。我们的研究结果表明,基于母亲不变特征的选择很重要,并且往往会夸大离婚对孩子继续接受教育机会的影响。尽管如此,童年时期经历婚姻破裂与较低的教育水平相关,而且这种影响会随着孩子在家庭破裂时的年龄增长而减弱。离婚的影响在高中阶段或刚过高中阶段的过渡时期最为明显。在不考虑选择因素的模型中,经历父亲死亡的孩子似乎比父母离婚的孩子处境更有利。然而,在我们控制了选择因素之后,来自离异家庭和丧偶家庭的孩子在教育资格方面的差异大幅缩小,在平均离婚年龄时,这种差异几乎不存在。