Juher David, Ripoll Jordi, Saldaña Joan
Departament d'Informàtica i Matemàtica Aplicada, Universitat de Girona, 17071 Girona, Spain.
Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2009 Oct;80(4 Pt 1):041920. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.80.041920. Epub 2009 Oct 20.
We present a study of the continuous-time equations governing the dynamics of a susceptible-infected-susceptible model on heterogeneous metapopulations. These equations have been recently proposed as an alternative formulation for the spread of infectious diseases in metapopulations in a continuous-time framework. Individual-based Monte Carlo simulations of epidemic spread in uncorrelated networks are also performed revealing a good agreement with analytical predictions under the assumption of simultaneous transmission or recovery and migration processes.
我们展示了一项关于控制异质集合种群中易感-感染-易感模型动态的连续时间方程的研究。这些方程最近被提出,作为在连续时间框架下集合种群中传染病传播的另一种表述形式。我们还进行了基于个体的蒙特卡罗模拟,以研究不相关网络中的疫情传播情况,结果表明,在同时发生传播、恢复和迁移过程的假设下,模拟结果与分析预测结果吻合良好。