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控制传染病传播的数学建模与分析

Mathematical modeling and analysis for controlling the spread of infectious diseases.

作者信息

Tyagi Swati, Martha Subash C, Abbas Syed, Debbouche Amar

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Chandigarh University, Chandigarh-140413, India.

Department of Mathematics, Indian Institute of Technology Ropar, Punjab-140001, India.

出版信息

Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2021 Mar;144:110707. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110707. Epub 2021 Feb 3.

Abstract

In this work, we present and discuss the approaches, that are used for modeling and surveillance of dynamics of infectious diseases by considering the early stage asymptomatic and later stage symptomatic infections. We highlight the conceptual ideas and mathematical tools needed for such infectious disease modeling. We compute the basic reproduction number of the proposed model and investigate the qualitative behaviours of the infectious disease model such as, local and global stability of equilibria for the non-delayed as well as delayed system. At the end, we perform numerical simulations to validate the effectiveness of the derived results.

摘要

在这项工作中,我们展示并讨论了通过考虑早期无症状感染和后期有症状感染来对传染病动态进行建模和监测的方法。我们强调了此类传染病建模所需的概念性思想和数学工具。我们计算了所提出模型的基本再生数,并研究了传染病模型的定性行为,例如非延迟和延迟系统平衡点的局部和全局稳定性。最后,我们进行数值模拟以验证所得结果的有效性。

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