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风险非此即彼?双酚 A 健康风险评估争议的比较分析。

Risk to all or none? A comparative analysis of controversies in the health risk assessment of Bisphenol A.

机构信息

Karolinska Institutet, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Reprod Toxicol. 2010 Apr;29(2):132-46. doi: 10.1016/j.reprotox.2009.11.007. Epub 2009 Nov 18.

Abstract

Bisphenol A (BPA) is an endocrine disruptor for which health risk assessment has proven controversial. Conclusions regarding health risks of BPA vary between assessments from "there is no risk to any part of the population" to "there is risk to the entire population". We have carried out a literature study investigating what might be the scientific and/or policy-related reasons for these differences. Ten risk assessments for BPA were scrutinized and several factors were compared between assessments, including estimations of exposure levels, identification of critical study and NOAEL, assessment factors and significance attributed to reports of low-dose effects. Differences in conclusions were mainly influenced by the evaluation of low-dose effects and the uncertainties surrounding the significance of these data for health risk assessment. The results illustrate the impact of differences in risk assessment policy and expert judgment on the risk assessment process and highlight the importance of transparency in this process.

摘要

双酚 A(BPA)是一种内分泌干扰物,其健康风险评估一直存在争议。关于 BPA 的健康风险评估结论在“对任何人群都没有风险”和“对整个人群都有风险”之间存在差异。我们进行了一项文献研究,旨在探讨造成这些差异的可能的科学和/或政策相关原因。我们仔细研究了 10 项针对 BPA 的风险评估,并对评估之间的几个因素进行了比较,包括暴露水平的估计、关键研究和无可见不良反应水平(NOAEL)的识别、评估因素以及对低剂量效应报告的重视程度。结论上的差异主要受到对低剂量效应的评估以及这些数据对健康风险评估的意义的不确定性的影响。研究结果说明了风险评估政策和专家判断的差异对风险评估过程的影响,并强调了该过程中透明度的重要性。

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