Eknes K G, Kristiansen I S
Helsedirektoratet, Oslo.
Tidsskr Nor Laegeforen. 1991 Feb 28;111(6):723-6.
The supply of doctors has been estimated for the period 1979-2000. The number of graduates from Norwegian medical schools has declined from 380 to about 320 a year. Similarly, the number of Norwegians with a degree in medicine from abroad has declined from 170 to 50 per year, whereas doctors of another nationality are increasing. Over the past two years they have accounted for 25% of the supply of new doctors. The total supply of doctors increased till the mid-1980s, but has since declined. It is anticipated that the decline will continue, and that factors such as retirement will reduce the net supply over the next decade. The study concludes that the lack of doctors is likely to persist. It is proposed that enrollment to Norwegian medical schools be increased. This increase should preferably take place at the three "peripheral" medical schools (Bergen, Trondheim and Tromsø) so as to alleviate vacancy problems in peripheral districts of Norway.
对1979年至2000年期间的医生供应情况进行了估算。挪威医学院的毕业生人数已从每年380人降至约320人。同样，从国外获得医学学位的挪威人数量也从每年170人降至50人，而其他国籍的医生数量则在增加。在过去两年中，他们占新医生供应的25%。医生的总供应量在20世纪80年代中期之前一直在增加，但此后有所下降。预计这种下降将持续，退休等因素将在未来十年减少净供应量。该研究得出结论，医生短缺可能会持续存在。建议增加挪威医学院的招生人数。这种增加最好在三所“偏远”医学院（卑尔根、特隆赫姆和特罗姆瑟）进行，以缓解挪威偏远地区的空缺问题。
