Departamento de Física, Facultad de CC Biológicas y Ambientales, Universidad de León, 24071, León, Spain.
Int J Biometeorol. 2010 Jul;54(4):379-92. doi: 10.1007/s00484-009-0289-1. Epub 2010 Jan 27.
This study was carried out in the region of Castile and Leon, Spain, from 1980 to 1998 and analyzes the relationship between the number of monthly deaths caused by cardiovascular, respiratory and digestive diseases and three meteorological variables: temperature, pressure and humidity. One of the innovations in this study is the application of principal component analysis in a way that differs from its usual application: one single series representing the whole region was constructed for each meteorological variable from the series of eight weather stations. Annual and seasonal mortality trends were also studied. Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of death in Castile and Leon. The mortality related to cardiovascular, respiratory and digestive systems shows a statistically significant rising trend across the study period (an annual increase of 6, 16 and 4 per thousand, respectively). The pressure at which mortality is lowest is approximately the same for all causes of death (about 915 hPa), but temperature values vary greatly (16.8-19.7 degrees C for the mean, 10.9-18.1 degrees C for the minimum, and 24.1-27.2 degrees C for the maximum temperature). The most comfortable temperatures for patients with cardiovascular diseases (16.8 degrees C) are apparently lower than those for patients with respiratory diseases (18.1 degrees C), which are, in turn, lower than in the case of diseases of the digestive system (19.7 degrees C). Finally, the optimal humidity for patients with respiratory diseases is the lowest (24%) among the diseases, and the highest (51%) corresponds to diseases of the digestive system, while the optimal relative humidity for the cardiovascular system is 45%.
这项研究于 1980 年至 1998 年在西班牙卡斯蒂利亚-莱昂地区进行,分析了每月因心血管、呼吸和消化系统疾病导致的死亡人数与三种气象变量(温度、压力和湿度)之间的关系。本研究的创新之处之一是应用主成分分析,其应用方式有别于常规方式:为每个气象变量从 8 个气象站的系列中构建了一个单一的代表整个地区的序列。还研究了年度和季节性的死亡率趋势。心血管疾病是卡斯蒂利亚-莱昂地区的主要死因。心血管、呼吸和消化系统相关的死亡率在整个研究期间呈现出统计学上显著的上升趋势(每年分别增加 6、16 和 4/千)。死亡率最低的压力对于所有死因基本相同(约 915 百帕),但温度值差异很大(平均温度为 16.8-19.7 摄氏度,最低温度为 10.9-18.1 摄氏度,最高温度为 24.1-27.2 摄氏度)。心血管疾病患者最舒适的温度(16.8 摄氏度)明显低于呼吸系统疾病患者(18.1 摄氏度),而后者又低于消化系统疾病患者(19.7 摄氏度)。最后,呼吸系统疾病患者的最佳湿度最低(24%),而消化系统疾病患者的最佳湿度最高(51%),而心血管系统的最佳相对湿度为 45%。