School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town.
S Afr Med J. 2009 Oct;99(10):730-7.
OBJECTIVES: To assess paediatric antiretroviral treatment (ART) outcomes and their associations from a collaborative cohort representing 20% of the South African national treatment programme. DESIGN AND SETTING: Multi-cohort study of 7 public sector paediatric ART programmes in Gauteng, Western Cape and KwaZulu-Natal provinces. SUBJECTS: ART-naive children (< or = 16 years) who commenced treatment with > or = 3 antiretroviral drugs before March 2008. OUTCOME MEASURES: Time to death or loss to follow-up were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Associations between baseline characteristics and mortality were assessed with Cox proportional hazards models stratified by site. Immune status, virological suppression and growth were described in relation to duration of ART. RESULTS: The median (interquartile range) age of 6 078 children with 9 368 child-years of follow-up was 43 (15 - 83) months, with 29% being < 18 months. Most were severely ill at ART initiation. More than 75% of children were appropriately monitored at 6-monthly intervals with viral load suppression (< 400 copies/ml) being 80% or above throughout 36 months of treatment. Mortality and retention in care at 3 years were 7.7% (95% confidence interval 7.0 - 8.6%) and 81.4% (80.1 - 82.6%), respectively. Together with young age, all markers of disease severity (low weight-for-age z-score, high viral load, severe immune suppression, stage 3/4 disease and anaemia) were independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Dramatic clinical benefit for children accessing the national ART programme is demonstrated. Higher mortality in infants and those with advanced disease highlights the need for early diagnosis of HIV infection and commencement of ART.
目的:评估来自南非国家治疗计划 20%的合作队列的儿科抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)结果及其相关性。
设计和设置:豪登省、西开普省和夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省的 7 个公立儿科 ART 项目的多队列研究。
研究对象:2008 年 3 月前开始接受> 3 种抗逆转录病毒药物治疗的初治儿童(< 16 岁)。
结局指标:使用 Kaplan-Meier 方法评估死亡或失访时间。采用 Cox 比例风险模型,按地点分层,评估基线特征与死亡率之间的相关性。描述了免疫状态、病毒学抑制和生长与 ART 持续时间的关系。
结果:6078 名儿童中有 9368 名儿童年随访时间中位数(四分位距)为 43 个月(15-83 个月),29%的儿童< 18 个月。大多数儿童在开始接受 ART 时病情严重。超过 75%的儿童在 6 个月的间隔内得到了适当的监测,病毒载量抑制(< 400 拷贝/ml)在 36 个月的治疗中达到 80%或以上。3 年死亡率和保留率分别为 7.7%(95%置信区间 7.0-8.6%)和 81.4%(80.1-82.6%)。与年龄较小一起,所有疾病严重程度标志物(低体重年龄 z 评分、高病毒载量、严重免疫抑制、3/4 期疾病和贫血)均与死亡率独立相关。
结论:证明了儿童获得国家 ART 计划的显著临床获益。婴儿和晚期疾病患者死亡率较高,突显了早期诊断 HIV 感染和开始 ART 的必要性。
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