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急性心力衰竭住院患者 3 个月和 1 年时的死亡率特征、结局和预测因素。

Characteristics, outcomes, and predictors of mortality at 3 months and 1 year in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure.

机构信息

Division of Emergency Care, Department of Medicine, Helsinki University Central Hospital, PO Box 340, Helsinki 00029 HUS, Finland.

出版信息

Eur J Heart Fail. 2010 Mar;12(3):239-48. doi: 10.1093/eurjhf/hfq002.

Abstract

AIMS

Acute heart failure (AHF) has a poor prognosis. We evaluated 3- and 12-month mortality in different clinical classes of AHF patients from 30 European countries who were included in the EuroHeart Failure Survey (EHFS) II.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Follow-up data were available for 2981 AHF patients, of these 62% had a history of chronic HF. One-year mortality after discharge was lower in patients with de novo AHF when compared with acutely decompensated chronic HF (ADCHF), 16.4 vs. 23.2% (P < 0.001). Cardiogenic shock conferred the highest cumulative 1-year mortality (52.9%) as a result of in-hospital mortality of 39.3%. Long-term prognosis in decompensated AHF was also dismal. Hypertensive HF was associated with the lowest mortality (13.7% at 1 year). Age, prior myocardial infarction, creatinine level, and low plasma sodium were independently associated with mortality during the whole follow-up period. Diabetes, anaemia, and history of chronic HF were associated with worse and hypertension with better long-term survival. History of cerebrovascular disease was associated with worse short-term outcome.

CONCLUSION

Early and late mortality differ between de novo AHF and ADCHF and between clinical classes of AHF. EHFS II identifies clinical risk markers and demonstrates the importance of a thorough characterization of AHF populations according to history and clinical presentation.

摘要

目的

急性心力衰竭(AHF)预后不良。我们评估了来自 30 个欧洲国家的 3002 名 AHF 患者的 3 个月和 12 个月死亡率,这些患者被纳入欧洲心力衰竭调查(EHFS) II。

方法和结果

2981 名 AHF 患者可获得随访数据,其中 62%有慢性 HF 病史。与急性失代偿性慢性心力衰竭(ADCHF)相比,新发 AHF 患者出院后 1 年死亡率较低,分别为 16.4%和 23.2%(P<0.001)。心源性休克导致 1 年累计死亡率最高(52.9%),院内死亡率为 39.3%。失代偿性 AHF 的长期预后也很差。高血压性 HF 死亡率最低(1 年时为 13.7%)。年龄、既往心肌梗死、肌酐水平和低血浆钠与整个随访期间的死亡率独立相关。糖尿病、贫血和慢性 HF 病史与较差的长期生存相关,而高血压与更好的长期生存相关。脑血管疾病史与短期预后不良相关。

结论

新发 AHF 和 ADCHF 以及 AHF 的临床分类之间的早期和晚期死亡率不同。EHFS II 确定了临床风险标志物,并证明根据病史和临床表现对 AHF 人群进行全面特征描述的重要性。

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