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道路运输系统目标设定、预测和安全设计中安全绩效指标的特性。

The properties of Safety Performance Indicators in target setting, projections and safety design of the road transport system.

机构信息

Swedish Road Administration, Borlänge, Sweden; Monash University Accident Research Centre, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2010 Mar;42(2):372-6. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2009.08.015. Epub 2009 Sep 12.

Abstract

Road traffic Safety Performance Indicators (SPIs) are becoming increasingly used as an instrument for the planning and monitoring of safety progress. SPIs form an intermediate step between actions and final outcome in terms of casualties in road crashes. It is understood that SPIs are closely related to outcome; and that it is also possible to use them in calculations and predictions of both actions and final outcome. In the present study, it was found that some of the properties assigned to SPIs could be questioned. An assumption of linearity between SPIs and final outcome was partly rejected. It was also found that 100% fulfillment of a set of SPIs could lead to very low mortality, demonstrating the importance of handling SPIs simultaneously.

摘要

道路交通安全绩效指标 (SPIs) 正越来越多地被用作规划和监测安全进展的工具。SPIs 在道路交通事故伤亡方面是行动和最终结果之间的中间步骤。据了解,SPIs 与结果密切相关;并且也可以在行动和最终结果的计算和预测中使用它们。在本研究中,发现分配给 SPI 的一些属性可能值得质疑。SPIs 和最终结果之间的线性关系假设被部分拒绝。还发现,一套 SPI 的 100%实现可能导致非常低的死亡率,这表明同时处理 SPI 的重要性。

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