Institut national d'études démographiques (INED), Paris Cedex 20.
Can J Aging. 2010 Mar;29(1):57-71. doi: 10.1017/S0714980809990419.
Western societies are experiencing a dramatic growth in the population aged 75 and older. Changes in family composition raise questions about who will care for those who need assistance. We compared population projections to the year 2030 of those families aged 75 and older in Canada and France. Over the next 25 years, the pool of potential family carers, (i.e., spouses and children), will broaden from the effect of the baby boom and increased proportion of women with spouses. The populations most dependent on formal care, with no potential support from a child or a spouse, will increase more sharply in Canada (123%) than in France (34%) but at a slower rate than the total population. Policy and programs in both countries will need to prepare for a greater number of elderly spouses providing care and in Canada, at least, a significant increase in the number that will need to rely on formal services.
西方社会正在经历 75 岁及以上人口的急剧增长。家庭结构的变化引发了人们的疑问，即谁将照顾那些需要帮助的人。我们比较了加拿大和法国 75 岁及以上家庭的人口预测到 2030 年的情况。在未来的 25 年里，潜在的家庭照顾者（即配偶和子女）的数量将因婴儿潮和有配偶的女性比例增加而扩大。在加拿大，最依赖正规护理且没有子女或配偶支持的人群将比法国（34%）更为急剧地增加（123%），但增长速度比总人口要慢。这两个国家的政策和计划都需要为更多的老年配偶提供护理做好准备，而在加拿大，至少需要依赖正规服务的人数将大幅增加。
