Department of Statistics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QW, U.K.
Stat Med. 2010 Mar 30;29(7-8):721-30. doi: 10.1002/sim.3763.
Some general points regarding efficiency in clinical trials are made. Reasons as to why fitting many covariates to adjust the estimate of the treatment effect may be less problematic than commonly supposed are given. Two methods of dynamic allocation of patients based on covariates, minimization and Atkinson's approach, are compared and contrasted for the particular case where all covariates are binary. The results of Monte Carlo simulations are also presented. It is concluded that in the cases considered, Atkinson's approach is slightly more efficient than minimization although the difference is unlikely to be very important in practice. Both are more efficient than simple randomization, although it is concluded that fitting covariates may make a more valuable and instructive contribution to inferences about treatment effects than only balancing them.
文中提到了一些关于临床试验效率的要点。文中还给出了一些理由,说明为什么拟合许多协变量来调整治疗效果的估计值可能不像通常认为的那样有问题。对于所有协变量均为二进制的特殊情况,比较并对比了两种基于协变量的患者动态分配方法,最小化和阿特金森方法。还给出了蒙特卡罗模拟的结果。结论是,在所考虑的情况下,尽管在实践中这种差异可能并不重要,但阿特金森方法比最小化方法略有效率。与简单随机化相比,这两种方法都更有效率,尽管结论是拟合协变量对关于治疗效果的推断可能会有更有价值和更有益的贡献,而不仅仅是平衡它们。