Griffith Business School, Griffith University, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Health Econ. 2011 Mar;20(3):306-22. doi: 10.1002/hec.1590.
This paper uses Johansen multivariate cointegration analysis to examine the relationship between health and GDP for 13 OECD countries over the last two centuries, for periods ranging from 1820-2001 to 1921-2001. A similar, long run, cointegrating relationship between life expectancy and both total GDP and GDP per capita was found for all the countries estimated. The relationships have a significant influence on both total GDP and GPD per capita in most of the countries estimated, with 1% increase in life expectancy resulting in an average 6% increase in total GDP in the long run, and 5% increase in GDP per capita. Total GDP and GDP per capita also have a significant influence on life expectancy for most countries. There is no evidence of changes in the relationships for any country over the periods estimated, indicating that shifts in the major causes of illness and death over time do not appear to have influenced the link between health and economic growth.
本文使用 Johansen 多变量协整分析来检验过去两个世纪 13 个经合组织国家的健康与 GDP 之间的关系,期间从 1820-2001 年到 1921-2001 年不等。对于所有估计的国家,发现了一个相似的、长期的、在预期寿命和总 GDP 以及人均 GDP 之间存在的协整关系。这些关系对大多数估计的国家的总 GDP 和人均 GDP 都有显著影响,预期寿命每增加 1%,长期内总 GDP 平均增加 6%,人均 GDP 增加 5%。总 GDP 和人均 GDP 对大多数国家的预期寿命也有显著影响。在估计的时期内,没有任何国家的关系发生变化的证据,这表明随着时间的推移,疾病和死亡的主要原因的转变似乎并没有影响健康与经济增长之间的联系。
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